I’m glad that’s over!…

Wolf Creek Pass got 2-3” of snow and looks slick this morning… Web cam 4/23/2022 at 7am

Saturday – 23 Apr 2022 – 9:10am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temp yesterday afternoon was 70. The low this morning was 34. The cold spots dipped into the low 20s. The peak wind at the airfield yesterday afternoon was 46mph. Our friends in Alamosa hit 81mph!

A bit of a surprise was the dust cloud. It got stirred up as the cold front moved through southern UT and northern AZ. I saw visibility less than a half mile in a few reports and pictures yesterday afternoon.

*Fire and smoke map this morning… We’ve cleared up behind yesterday’s cold front and we should stay clear for the next few days.*

Precip summary… Well we got a little bit of precipitation. Based on web cams and snotel, I estimate that the Wolf Creek Pass got 2-3”. It mostly rained mud in the valley though we did get a couple of reports of a dusting of snow.

*CoCoRaHS 24-hour precip reports range from zero to 0.01”. Most of the county just got a trace.*

Forecast discussion…

A few hit and miss showers will develop over the mountains on Saturday and Sunday afternoons.

Monday and Tuesday will be typical sunny and pleasant spring days with breezy afternoon winds.

I’m keeping an eye on a weak system Wednesday. Winds will tick up a notch and instability will increase enough to kick up spotty showers and an isolated thunderstorm.

*Satellite this morning: Clouds are lingering over the mountains. Upper level flow is out of the northwest which will keep spotty afternoon showers mostly on the other side of The Divide.*

My forecast…

Saturday and Sunday afternoons – It won’t be as windy, and showers will be more spotty and mostly over the mountains. Wednesday – Spotty afternoon showers and an isolated thunderstorm are possible. * The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * *LE = liquid equivalent — ***Saturday and Sunday afternoons – It won’t be as windy, and showers will be more spotty and mostly over the mountains.***

***Wednesday – Spotty afternoon showers and an isolated thunderstorm are possible.***

* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * *LE = liquid equivalent

*Euro liquid equivalent through Sunday at midnight shows nothing for Pagosa and up to 0.25” along our northern Divide. This is convective/showery precip which means it will be spotty.*

*Euro snowfall through Sunday at midnight shows nothing for Pagosa and 2-3” along our northern Divide.*

Euro ensemble wind gusts to Thursday at midnight – The top shows wind gusts for 50 different runs of the Euro model. The bottom shows the mean of those runs. The chart is read left to right with the most current time on the left. Times are in Zulu. I put *s at 00Z/6PM each day. Keep in mind that our peak winds usually occur between 18Z and 00Z. — Euro ensemble wind gusts to Thursday at midnight – The top shows wind gusts for 50 different runs of the Euro model. The bottom shows the mean of those runs. The chart is read left to right with the most current time on the left. Times are in Zulu. I put *’s at 00Z/6PM each day. Keep in mind that our peak winds usually occur between 18Z and 00Z.

*Except for Monday, peak winds every day are above 20mph with a max of 34mph today and 30mph on Wednesday.*

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average High	Record High / Year	Average Low	Record Low / Year
61	76 / 1989	25	8 / 1967

Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.

My next post will be on Monday. Have an excellent weekend!

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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