Snowpack is decent across most of Colorado
Saturday – 2 April – 9:30am
March 2022 Summary…
The average low for March is 15 and the average high is 49. The record high of 73 occurred on 19 Mar 1907. The record low of -25 occurred on 1 Mar 1913. March precip averages 1.77″ with 19.5″ of snow. Wolf Creek averages 75.8″ of snow in March and 380.5″ for the season to 31 March.
How did we do? Check out these charts…



A CoCoRaHS observer in town would be very helpful to us, the National Weather Service, and many other agencies!

A CoCoRaHS observer in town would be very helpful to us, the National Weather Service, and many other agencies!
Snowpack update…



The Upper San Juan snotel is at 102% for this date and 93% of its seasonal average. The Wolf Creek Summit snotel is at 120% and 96% of its seasonal average.
Something else to note is that snowpack for the Upper San Juan site peaks around 9 April and for the Wolf Creek Summit site it peaks around 29 April.
Drought and River flow update…


April 2022 Outlook…
The average low for April is 24 and the average high is 59. The record high of 81 occurred on 30 April 1981. The record low of -4 occurred on 1 April 1980. April precip averages 1.38″ with 6.3″ of snow. Wolf Creek averages 44.8″ of snow in April and 425.3″ for the season to 30 April.



The first week there are a couple of transient systems that don’t favor us. Then the pattern is quiet for 4 or 5 days and then gets active again few a days beginning around the 10th. Ridging will then build over the region the last week of the month resulting in dry and warm weather.
And what do we expect?
Well Arleen is the expert and this is what she says…
“The Arctic Oscillation is no longer a player in the global weather pattern as the sun angle changes and temperatures modify. The Madden Julian is weak at this time. There is a chance that it may reemerge in the western Pacific in early April. We’ll closely monitor that. The La’Nina is still in control in the tropical areas. A few areas have started to warm but in all areas the temperatures are colder then average.”
“The first half of the month looks good with a system coming through around the 5th and 6th and another around the 11th-13th. If the MJO will strengthen, the mid month system could have significant moisture with it. However, the final half of the month is looking to be firmly in the control of the LaNina which means the polar front jet and system energy will stay to our north.”
“I expect April to have below average precipitation and warmer than average temps.”
A HUGE thanks for your precip reports and pictures! Reports help verify our forecasts and make us better forecasters.
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PagosaWeather.org The Trusted Local Experts
- Shawn