Nice most of the weekend – more showers Sunday night & Monday…

5” of fresh snow at Wolf Creek and then lots of sun this afternoon!… Web cam capture 4/1/2022

5” of fresh snow at Wolf Creek and then lots of sun this afternoon!… Web cam capture 4/1/2022

Friday – 1 Apr 2022 – 7:20pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temp this afternoon was 56. The low this morning was 34. The peak wind at the airfield in the last 24 hours was 20mph.

Precip summary… 5” of new snow fell up at Wolf Creek in the last 24 hours. CoCoRaHS 24-hour liquid equivalent precip reports ranged from 0.03” to 0.12”.  CoCoRaHS 24-hour snowfall reports ranged from 0 to 1.1”.  There were also a couple of reports from the Chromo area of around an inch of snow.  Thanks for your reports!

Forecast discussion…

Saturday through Sunday morning ridging will build over the region and give us sunny skies and seasonal temps.

Sunday afternoon clouds will increase ahead of another weak system. A few spotty showers will pop up over the mountains in the afternoon and become more widespread after midnight. Occasional showers and a thunderstorm or two are possible until Monday afternoon when the trough moves through.

On Tuesday a strong jet stream out of the northwest will result in partly cloudy skies and gusty winds.

Satellite this afternoon: Patches of high cirrus clouds are moving into the area from the northwest. Ridging across much of the western US will keep our weather nice through most of the weekend.
Satellite this afternoon: Patches of high cirrus clouds are moving into the area from the northwest. Ridging across much of the western US will keep our weather nice through most of the weekend.

My forecast…

Sunday & Monday – Spotty showers will start over the mountains Sunday afternoon and become more widespread after midnight.  The best chance for precip is midnight Sunday to noon on Monday.  Showers will linger over the mountains until sunset on Monday. The snow level will start around 10,000ft and drop to 8,000ft by sunrise on Monday. Tuesday – It will be windy, especially in the mountains. See the forecast wind chart below. * LE = liquid equivalent. * * The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. *
Sunday & Monday – Spotty showers will start over the mountains Sunday afternoon and become more widespread after midnight.  The best chance for precip is midnight Sunday to noon on Monday.  Showers will linger over the mountains until sunset on Monday. The snow level will start around 10,000ft and drop to 8,000ft by sunrise on Monday.

Tuesday – It will be windy, especially in the mountains. See the forecast wind chart below.

* LE = liquid equivalent. * * The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. *
NBM liquid equivalent through Monday at 6pm shows up to 0.10” in the valley and 0.25” in our mountains. A couple of forecast models show a little more.
NBM liquid equivalent through Monday at 6pm shows up to 0.10” in the valley and 0.25” in our mountains. A couple of forecast models show a little more.
NBM snowfall through Monday at 6pm shows a dusting in the higher parts of the valley and 2-4” in our mountains. This will be mostly a rain event for the valley.
NBM snowfall through Monday at 6pm shows a dusting in the higher parts of the valley and 2-4” in our mountains. This will be mostly a rain event for the valley.
Euro model wind gusts on Tuesday at 3pm shows 34mph for Pagosa and 40mph for Chama and Durango.  Our ridge lines are in the 50-60mph range.
Euro model wind gusts on Tuesday at 3pm shows 34mph for Pagosa and 40mph for Chama and Durango.  Our ridge lines are in the 50-60mph range.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
5472 / 196620-4 / 1980

Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.

I’ll do a March summary and April outlook tomorrow morning. My next forecast post will be on Sunday. 

– Shawn

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I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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