More of the same, but warming…

Blue Skies
Nothing but blues skies this week!

2-7-22 1:15pm update…

The low this morning at Stevens Field was 3 degrees, but many of us saw lows below zero again. The high so far today has been 33 degrees but later this afternoon we should see upper 30’s to low 40’s. There was no precipitation recorded in our area.

A couple of waves will skirt to our north this week, dropping a few flakes over the front range, but “nothing but blue skies from now on”, for us…at least through Friday. One of the models we use is hinting that there could be some light snow over the weekend from another passing wave, but most continue our dry streak into early next week. Next week is looking more promising with every run, but as I have cautioned everyone before, any models over 5 days are to be taken with at least 3-4 grains of salt. There is a possibility of a “cut-off” low forming over southern California which could put us into a decent SW on the 16th and 17th. Until then, enjoy lots of sun and high temperatures approaching or exceeding 50 degrees by Friday.

Screenshot 2022 02 07 121633
The latest EURO model run is predicting 5 inches of snow for next Wednesday-Thursday. Since this model forecast is more than 5 days out, it will be changing throughout the week, and it could even go “poof” at this point. Stay tuned!
Screenshot 2022 02 07 123030
The latest EURO 500mb upper-level wind forecast is predicting an upper-level low to form off the southern California coast next week, then drift east. This would put us in a nice SW flow to produce some snow. We shall see! FYI: These are upper-level winds, not surface winds…only the pilots need to worry about these!
Screenshot 2022 02 07 124948
The latest 8-14day precipitation forecast puts us on the edge of “Likely Above” zone. We can hope!

My forecast…

For those of you who like to “hear” our forecast, call 877-841-0247.

The rest of today: Blue skies with a high in the upper 30’s to low 40’s. South winds 5-10 mph.

Tonight: Clear with lows ranging from -5 to the single digits.

Tuesday-Friday: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 40’s and lows in the single digits to low teens.

Saturday-Sunday: There could be a tiny chance for snow for the mountains, otherwise mostly sunny with highs in the mid 40’s and lows in the single digits to low teens.

My next post will be on Wednesday unless something completely meteorologically random occurs.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for February 7th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4158/ 19633-28/ 1982

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