Morning fog and frosted trees in O”Neal Park… Pic taken 1/20/2022
Thursday – 20 Jan 2022 – 5:15pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temp this afternoon was 39 and the low this morning was 13. I saw temps down to 3 this morning.The peak wind at the airfield was 8mph.
Precip in the last 24 hours… There were a couple of spotty showers over the mountains yesterday afternoon, but snow accumulation was minimal.
Forecast discussion…
A small low pressure system and associated trough are currently over WA, OR, and southern ID and will move through our area Friday night. The system has decent storm energy, but lacks moisture. Unfortunately the trajectory is also not favorable for us, but we will see some snow. A similar system will move through Monday night and Tuesday with similar results.
The long range pattern continues to look more active starting the end of the month and into the first week of February.
My forecast…
Friday afternoon through Saturday morning… We’ll see more clouds and snowshowers. The best chance for precip is sunset tomorrow to midnight. Scattered snowshowers are possible for a few hours on either side of that period, especially over the mountains. Highs will be in the mid-30s to lower 40s and lows will be 0 to 20.
Snowfall amounts…
– Valley: up to 1”
– Mountains: 2” to 4”
Saturday afternoon through Monday afternoon… We’ll see lots of sun with occasional patches of mid and upper level clouds. Highs will be in the mid-30 to lower 40s and lows will be 0 to 20.
Monday night and Tuesday… We’ll see more clouds and scattered snowshowers. Forecast confidence is still low for this system.
Snowfall amounts…
– Valley: up to an inch
– Mountains: 2” to 4”
Long range… Forecast models continue to agree that the pattern will get more active starting 29 or 30 Jan. Keep those positive vibes going and do those snow dances!
Pagosa Springs historical data
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 38 | 56 / 1986 | 3 | -21 / 1960 |
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
Unless something pops up or changes, my next post will be on Saturday. And I expect to report a little bit of new snow!
– Shawn
