Spotty snowshowers today then nice for a while…

 It was great to measure snow this morning! Pic taken 11/24/2021

 It was great to measure snow this morning! Pic taken 11/24/2021

Wednesday – 24 Nov 2021 – 8:30am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 49 and the low this morning was 33. Most of us were in the lower to mid-30s this morning. The peak wind at the airfield in the last 24 hours was 16mph.

Precip in the last 24 hours: I don’t have many reports yet this morning but the average snowfall is in the 0.5” to 1.5” range.  The snow lottery winners got around 2.5”. Wolf Creek reported 4” this morning.

*** Wolf Creek Pass is snowpacked and roads in the valley might be slick.  Thick fog and poor visibility are also a problem this morning. ***
*** Wolf Creek Pass is snowpacked and roads in the valley might be slick.  Thick fog and poor visibility are also a problem this morning. ***

Forecast discussion…

The main part of the system has moved through. The upper level trough is still to our northwest and will move through our area this evening.  Moisture is limited with the trough but we’ll see spotty snowshowers, mostly over the mountains, until it moves through.

Then pesky ridging and drier northwest flow will give us pleasant weather for the next 7-10 days.

Water vapor satellite this morning: Drier air is moving in and the clouds will be breaking up through the day.  There is still a chance for spotty showers until that trough moves through this evening.
Water vapor satellite this morning: Drier air is moving in and the clouds will be breaking up through the day.  There is still a chance for spotty showers until that trough moves through this evening.
Radar this morning: Radar isn’t picking up any precip in our area. It’s raining in the Albuquerque to Santa Fe and Trinidad to Pueblo areas. ** It will change to snow this evening along I25 from Colorado City to Trinidad.  Up to an inch of snow is expected – just enough to make the roads slick. **
Radar this morning: Radar isn’t picking up any precip in our area. It’s raining in the Albuquerque to Santa Fe and Trinidad to Pueblo areas. ** It will change to snow this evening along I25 from Colorado City to Trinidad.  Up to an inch of snow is expected – just enough to make the roads slick. **

My forecast…

Today… Fog will break up in the next couple of hours.  Clouds will also gradually break up through the day. Spotty snowshowers will linger into the evening, mostly over the mountains. A spotty dusting is possible in the valley and up to an inch is possible in the mountains.

It will be cooler with highs in the lower to mid-40s and lows Thanksgiving morning will be mostly in the 5 to 15 degree range… brrrr!

NWS snowfall for Colorado shows less than an inch in our mountains.

** Snow will ramp up later today along the Sangre De Cristos and along I25 from Colorado City to Raton Pass. Keep an eye on the weather if you have to drive over La Veta or Raton passes. **
NWS snowfall for Colorado shows less than an inch in our mountains.

** Snow will ramp up later today along the Sangre De Cristos and along I25 from Colorado City to Raton Pass. Keep an eye on the weather if you have to drive over La Veta or Raton passes. **
NAM forecast radar from 8am today to 6am Thanksgiving morning: Isolated snowshowers are possible through the evening, especially over the mountains.
NAM forecast radar from 8am today to 6am Thanksgiving morning: Isolated snowshowers are possible through the evening, especially over the mountains.

Thanksgiving through Monday… We’ll see quite a bit of sun with occasional periods of mid and high clouds.  Tomorrow morning patchy thick fog will develop in the low lying areas for a few hours. I don’t expect any precip for the next 7-10 days.

On Thanksgiving highs will be in the lower to mid-40s and lows will be in the upper single digits to the upper teens.  Friday through Sunday highs will be in the lower to upper 50s and lows will be the lower teens to lower 20s.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4661 / 194312-20 / 1931

For those of you who like to “hear” our forecast, we are experimenting with a “dial up and text” forecast. Call 877-841-0247 and give it a try!

My next post will be tomorrow morning – gobble gobble!

– Shawn

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I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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