Two lone skiers under bright blue skies at Wolf Creek. Web cam capture on 11/21/2021
Sunday – 21 Nov 2021 – 9:50am
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 49 and the low this morning was 22. The cold spots dipped into the lower to mid-teens this morning. The peak wind at the airfield in the last 24 hours was 9mph.
There were a few spotty snowshowers over the mountains yesterday, but I didn’t see any accumulation.
Today and tomorrow will be mostly clear as transient ridging takes over.
A system will move through Tuesday and Wednesday giving us more clouds and some precip. Unfortunately the best storm energy and moisture will miss us.
Thanksgiving through Saturday ridging and drier northwest flow will give us pleasant weather.
Today and tomorrow… Expect clear blue skies. High temps today will be in the upper 40s to mid-50s and then tomorrow highs will be in the lower to upper 50s. Lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s.
Winds will peak under 20mph.
Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday night… We’ll see more clouds and snowshowers. Initially the snow level will be around 8,500ft so the first few showers will be “rainflakes”. Then the snow level will gradually drop to 6,000ft overnight. The best chance for precip is between Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning. Spotty showers will linger into Wednesday afternoon in the valley and Wednesday evening in the mountains.
The high temps Tuesday will be in the upper 40s to lower 50s and lows will be in the 20s. It will be cooler Wednesday with highs in the lower to mid-40s and lows mostly in the 5 to 15 degree range.
– Valley: around an inch
– Mountains: 2-5”
Summary: I’m cheering for the Euro but I think it’s overdoing the snow amounts. At this point I’m going with the other models and lowered my snow totals a notch.
Thanksgiving through Saturday… We’ll see quite a bit of sun with occasional periods of mid and high clouds. I don’t expect any precip.
On Thanksgiving highs will be in the lower to upper 40s and lows will be in the upper single digits to the upper teens. Friday and Saturday highs will be in the lower to mid-50s and lows will be the lower teens to lower 20s.
Pagosa Springs historical data
|Average High||Record High / Year||Average Low||Record Low / Year|
|46||66 / 1989||13||-4 / 1956|
For those of you who like to “hear” our forecast, we are experimenting with a “dial up and text” forecast. Call 877-841-0247 and give it a try!
I’ll do posts daily through Thanksgiving.