Glorious fall weather through Wednesday…

Perfect fall weather to get outside! Pic taken 11/12/2021

Perfect fall weather to get outside! Pic taken 11/12/2021

Saturday – 13 Nov 2021 – 8:20am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 55 and the low this morning was 24. The peak wind at the airfield in the last 24 hours was 9mph.

There was no precip in the last 24 hours.

Forecast discussion…

The pesky ridge will continue to give us pleasant fall weather through Wednesday.  Then another weak and getting weaker system will try to move through Colorado from the northwest.  We’ll see a few more clouds and cooler temps, but very little precip.

I keep looking at the models out to 15 days and don’t see anything to get excited about. Go away La Nina!

GeoColor satellite this morning: The ridge off the West Coast continues to keep most of the Southwest clear.  Upper level northwest flow over the top of the ridge is not our friend.
GeoColor satellite this morning: The ridge off the West Coast continues to keep most of the Southwest clear.  Upper level northwest flow over the top of the ridge is not our friend.

My forecast…

Today through Wednesday… Enjoy the sun! Highs will be in the mid-50s to low 60s and lows will be upper teens to lower 30s. The warm spots will flirt with the record highs of 65 tomorrow and then 66 on Monday. On Wednesday temps will be 5 degrees cooler. Winds will stay under 20mph.

Thursday through Saturday… There will be a few more clouds and a slight chance for a few snowflakes in the mountains.  Snow accumulations will stay under an inch.

Temps will be closer to our seasonal average with highs in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows in the mid-teens to mid-20s.

NBM precip to next Monday, 22 Nov, at 5pm has no precip in our area.
NBM precip to next Monday, 22 Nov, at 5pm has no precip in our area.
Euro precip to next Monday, 22 Nov, at 5pm is more optimistic but still shows just a trace in our mountains.
Euro precip to next Monday, 22 Nov, at 5pm is more optimistic but still shows just a trace in our mountains.
The Euro 10-day meteogram for Pagosa also shows no precip, but note the downward temperature trend after Tuesday.
The Euro 10-day meteogram for Pagosa also shows no precip, but note the downward temperature trend after Tuesday.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
5168 / 199017-11 / 1950

For those of you who like to “hear” our forecast, we are experimenting with a “dial up and text” forecast. Call 877-841-0247 and give it a try!

My next post will be Monday morning.

– Shawn

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Picture of Shawn Pro

Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

3 Responses

  1. Good morning I just called and listened to the weather and wanted to say that is a great feature. It did sound like your voice was a little quiet compared to the rest of the audio, just FYI otherwise great job on everything & thank you for your service!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

 

© 2024 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon