A weak trough is moving through and kicking up a few showers this morning. Pic taken 10/18/2021
Monday – 18 Oct 2021 – 9:25am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 64 and the low this morning was 36. The peak wind was 18mph.
There was no significant precip in the last 24 hours.
Forecast discussion…
A weak trough is moving through now and kicking up a few spotty showers. A stronger trough will move through tomorrow morning, but most of the moisture and storm energy will stay to our north. Ridging will build over the region the rest of the week and give us nice fall weather.
My forecast…
Today through tomorrow… Mostly cloudy skies this morning will give way to partly cloudy skies this afternoon. Clouds will increase again tonight and then gradually clear again tomorrow afternoon. Spotty showers over the mountains will end by noon today and are possible again tomorrow early morning through early afternoon.
High temps today will be in the mid-50s to lower 60s and tomorrow will be a little cooler with highs in the lower to upper 50s. Lows tonight will be in the mid-20s to upper 30s and tomorrow they’ll be in the mid-teens to upper 20s.
Winds will peak in the 25-30mph range both afternoons.
We could see a few snowflakes tomorrow morning in the valley, but I don’t expect any accumulation. Lucky spots in the mountains could see up to 1.50” of snow. Be careful driving over the Wolf Creek Pass tomorrow morning.
Wednesday through Sunday… The glorious fall weather will continue! Expect lots of sun and chilly mornings.
Highs will be mid-50s to low 60s and lows will be upper teens to low 30s. (I don’t like forecasting big temp ranges but it’s common this time of year with our elevation differences.)
Pagosa Springs historical data
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 64 | 80 / 1951 | 25 | 8 / 1968 |
Unless something interesting pops up, my next post will be Wednesday morning.
– Shawn
