A moody morning at Williams Creek Reservoir yesterday…
10-7-21: 3pm update…
Just when I thought our rain was over yesterday morning, a storm moved through around 11am and dropped some additional rain over parts of our area. My rain gauge recorded an additional 0.14 of precipitation about a mile north of Hatcher Lake.
Our next rain maker arrives tomorrow as a large trough digs into the west coast, producing another upper level low in southern California and some short waves that will keep our weather unsettled throughout the weekend. By Monday we all could see 0.25-.050 of rain and our mountains 1-2 inches of snow.
After a break in the action on Monday, an even stronger trough and associated cold front will arrive on Tuesday giving us another round of moisture on Tuesday and Wednesday along with the potential for snow in Pagosa Springs! Right now it looks like 1-3 inches of snow will be possible.
My forecast…
The rest of today through Friday…Partly cloudy this afternoon with highs in the upper 60’s and some wind gusts 15-20mph. On Friday winds will pick up and clouds will start thickening in the afternoon with a slight chance for rain late in the afternoon. Lows on Friday morning will range from the upper 20’s to the low 30’s.
Friday night-Monday: Our next rain maker will be arriving on Friday afternoon as a large trough digs into the west coast, producing another upper level low in southern California and some short waves that will keep our weather unsettled throughout the weekend. There will be a chance for rain Friday night through Sunday but the best odds will Friday night and Saturday. Winds may gust to over 30mph on Saturday. Lows on Saturday morning will mainly be in the mid to upper 30’s with highs on Saturday under mostly cloudy and rainy skies on the 50’s. Some colder air moves in on Saturday night and some of us in elevations 8K and higher may see some light snow as temps drop into the upper 20’s and low 30’s. Highs on Sunday will remain in the 50’s. By Monday we all could see 0.25-.050 of rain and our mountains 1-2 inches of snow.
Tuesday-Wednesday of next week: Our next storm moves in with some winterized air and moisture, giving us a chance for cold rain and snow in Pagosa Springs and all snow for the mountains. Right now, I think 1-3 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs and 5-10 inches for the mountains is possible. I’ll have a better read on this system by tomorrow morning when I do my next post.
-Mark Langford
Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.
Pagosa Springs historical data for October 7th.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 69 | 80 / 1987 | 28 | 12 / 1955 |
