Valley fog and snow on the Rio Grande Pyramid! Pic taken 9/28/2021
Tuesday – 28 Sep 2021 – 11:10am
Overall situation…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 63 and the low this morning was 39. The peak wind at the airfield was 17mph, though a few folks had gusts to 25mph with the showers.
We got more precip! I saw a dusting of snow at the top of Pagosa Peak and near Cimarrona Peak, so the snow level was 12,500ft. Precip ended last night just as it got cold enough for snow on the mountain tops.


The cut-off low is spinning over the Trinidad/Walsenburg area. It’s weakening and continuing to move slowly northeast. There is plenty of moisture and instability to fuel showers and thunderstorms this afternoon into the evening.
Tomorrow an upper level trough will move through with less moisture, but instability will still be high, so we’ll see another round of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
The next system will move into the area Thursday and Friday. It will take a similar track and bring active weather much like the system moving through now.
This weekend ridging will build over the area and will give us glorious fall weather!


My forecast…
Today through Friday… We’ll see variable clouds with scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoons and evenings. Patchy morning fog is likely. The snow level today is around 12,500ft and will drop to 11,500ft by tomorrow night. I expect 4-8” of snow above timberline by late Friday.
Winds will peak around 20mph, though convective gusts to 35mph near showers and thunderstorms are possible.
Highs will be in the upper 50s to mid-60s and lows will be in the low 30s to low 40s.




Saturday and Sunday… There will be a few spotty afternoon showers on Saturday, and then Sunday will be dry with lots of sun. Highs will be in the mid-60s to around 70 and lows will be in the upper 20s to upper 30s.
Get out early Saturday to see fall colors back-dropped by snow-covered peaks!
Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
70 | 85 / 1953 | 32 | 15 / 1993 |
My next post will be tomorrow.
– Shawn
One Response
Fantastic photo!