Windy today – protect your plants tonight…

A serene sunset over Pagosa Country!  Pic taken 9/19/2021

A serene sunset over Pagosa Country!  Pic taken 9/19/2021

Monday – 20 Sep 2021 – 8:50am

Overall situation…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 73 and the low this morning was 44. The peak wind at the airfield was 29mph. Temps this morning were mostly in the mid-30s to mid-40s – about 5 degrees warmer than I expected.  I didn’t see any precip in the last 24 hours.

The actual front will move through our area today.  The only change we’ll see are gusty winds this afternoon and colder temps tomorrow morning.  By late tomorrow a strong high pressure will be parked over AZ and will give us really nice weather the rest of the week.

Water vapor satellite this morning: A jet streak, indicated by the yellow arrows, will bring us a few mid and upper level clouds today.  It will also feed our gusty afternoon winds.  The high pressure center will be over AZ by late tomorrow.
Water vapor satellite this morning: A jet streak, indicated by the yellow arrows, will bring us a few mid and upper level clouds today.  It will also feed our gusty afternoon winds.  The high pressure center will be over AZ by late tomorrow.

My forecast…

Today… We’ll see a few mid and upper level clouds, gusty afternoon winds, and pleasant temps. High temps will be around 70 to the mid-70s.  Lows tonight will be in the mid-20s to mid-30s.  Afternoon winds will peak around 30mph.

Euro max winds at 6pm today show 30-35mph over most of Archuleta County.  This product tends to overdue speeds by 5mph.
Euro max winds at 6pm today show 30-35mph over most of Archuleta County.  This product tends to overdue speeds by 5mph.
The HRRR meteogram for Pagosa shows peaks winds of 30mph (in the red box at the bottom left).  This product has done quite well with winds recently. Note that tomorrow afternoon the winds only peak at 14mph (red arrow).
The HRRR meteogram for Pagosa shows peaks winds of 30mph (in the red box at the bottom left).  This product has done quite well with winds recently. Note that tomorrow afternoon the winds only peak at 14mph (red arrow).

Tuesday through Saturday… Lots of sun, dry, and pleasant temps – really nice weather!  Highs will be around 70 to the upper 70s and lows will be in the upper 20s to upper 30s. Afternoon winds will peak around 20mph.

NBM precip through Saturday at midnight indicates none in our area.
NBM precip through Saturday at midnight indicates none in our area.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7283 / 19843518 / 1971

My next post will be on Wednesday.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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