Windy today and tomorrow – hard freeze for the cold spots…

Appreciate the flowers while you can!  Pic taken 9/19/2021

Appreciate the flowers while you can!  Pic taken 9/19/2021

Sunday – 11 Sep 2021 – 9:40am

Overall situation…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 78 and the low this morning was 49. The peak wind at the airfield was 27mph.

We got a little precip in the last 24 hours.  The Cortez/Manco area did much better with 0.30” to 0.50”.

CoCoRaHS 24hr precip totals range from 0.02” to 0.13”
CoCoRaHS 24hr precip totals range from 0.02” to 0.13”
NWS mesonet 24hr precip totals range from 0.02” to 0.19”
NWS mesonet 24hr precip totals range from 0.02” to 0.19”

The leading trough moved through in the middle of the night and gave us some spotty showers.  The main trough is still to our northwest.  The energy and moisture will stay to our north, but winds will pick up as the jetstream moves overhead.  By Tuesday, high pressure will build over AZ and give us beautiful weather the rest of the week.

Water vapor satellite this morning: The leading trough has moved to the east.  Drier air and stronger winds are moving in behind it.
Water vapor satellite this morning: The leading trough has moved to the east.  Drier air and stronger winds are moving in behind it.

My forecast…

Today and tomorrow… There’s a slight chance for spotty afternoon showers or thunderstorms today, otherwise it will be dry. High temps will be around 70 to the mid-70s.  Lows tonight will be in the upper 20s to upper 30s and tomorrow in the mid-20s to mid-30s.  Afternoon winds will peak in the 25-35mph range.

High resolution NAM forecast radar valid from noon today through 6am tomorrow shows the spotty showers in our area this afternoon and then the main trough moving through northern CO tonight.
High resolution NAM forecast radar valid from noon today through 6am tomorrow shows the spotty showers in our area this afternoon and then the main trough moving through northern CO tonight.

Tuesday through Saturday… Lots of sun, dry, and pleasant temps.  Highs will be in the lower to upper 70s and lows will be in the upper 20s to upper 30s. Afternoon winds will peak around 20mph.

Euro precip Tuesday through Saturday indicates none in our area.
Euro precip Tuesday through Saturday indicates none in our area.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7387 / 1956359 / 1993

My next post will be tomorrow morning.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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