The times they are a changing…

Sunset

I think everyone in Pagosa Springs shot this amazing sunset on Tuesday night after some of us lucked out and got some rain from a PM Popper.

9-16-21: 2:30pm update…

Right on cue, as we near autumnal equinox on Wednesday the 22nd, we will finally start seeing some changes in our weather pattern…including lots of wind this weekend, a cold front early next week and a chance for rain. Pre-frontal winds will kick in out of the SW this weekend and could produce some wind gusts to over 35mph. On Monday our cold front arrives and winds will again gust over 30mph, but this time out of the NW. Temps will dip downward on Tuesday and Wednesday but as of this post, most of the colder air will stay to our east.

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Saturday’s surface map shows our approaching cold front and a chance for rain during the afternoons this weekend.
Screenshot 2021 09 16 135555
Pre-frontal winds will kick in out of the SW this weekend and could produce some wind gusts to over 35mph on Saturday and Sunday.
Screenshot 2021 09 16 134128
Our 3 day rainfall forecast is getting a little bit more exciting!
Screenshot 2021 09 14 133747
The latest EURO 7 rainfall forecast is predicting we could see up to 0.30 inches of rainfall over that period.
Screenshot 2021 09 16 134732
Just for fun I’m including the latest EURO snowfall forecast through the 22nd. While this model is keeping the snow to our north, it is possible that our local peaks could see a light dusting as the cold front moves through on Monday night.

My forecast…

The rest of today…partly cloudy and breezy with gusts over 25mph and highs around 80. Lows tonight will range from the mid 30’s ( my backyard hit 33 degrees this morning about a mile north of Hatcher Lake) to the low 40’s depending on where you live in our area.

Friday-Monday: Mostly sunny with lows in the upper 30’s and low 40’s and highs in mid to upper 70’s. We should see afternoon wind gusts over 20mph on Friday, then ramping up to over 30mph for Saturday through Monday. There will be a chance for afternoon scattered storms Saturday-Monday. A cold front moves through late on Monday and gives us additional chance for rain. Rainfall totals will range from 0.01-0.30. There is a tiny chance for some flurries on our peaks on Monday afternoon and evening.

Tuesday-Wednesday of next week: A freeze is very possible for most of the areas that are subject to cold mornings (like my backyard) and even the rest of Pagosa Springs will flirt with a freeze as well. Time to get out those blankets for your tender vegetation! Highs will drop into the mid to upper 60’s!

My next update will be on Saturday.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for September 16th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7487 / 19563525 / 1971

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