I did my part to help it rain today! Pic taken 9/1/2021 at 10:20am
Update: Wednesday – 1 Sep 2021 – 7:45pm
Most of the county has gotten a good soaking!

A dry slot will give us a break for the next few hours and then we’ll see another round of showers later tonight. The trough will move through around noon tomorrow but will be much weaker. We still have a decent shot of showers and thunderstorms through tomorrow afternoon, but they’ll be more hit and miss.


My next post will be tomorrow morning.
- Shawn
Wednesday – 1 Sep 2021 – 9:00am
Overall situation…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 84 and the low this morning was 59. The peak wind at the airfield was 16mph. There were a few weak showers in the last 24 hours, mostly over the mountains. I didn’t see any reports of measurable precip.
The subtropical moisture blob is on our doorstep, and it’s being pushed by a trough. Periods of heavy rain are likely between noon and midnight.
*** The Grand Junction National Weather Service has issued a Flash Flood Watch for our mountains valid from 10am to midnight. *** This does not include Pagosa Springs.
By Friday upper level flow will turn more westerly and push most of the monsoonal plume out or our area. We’ll be back to playing the rain lottery.


My forecast…
Today and tomorrow… The first few showers are possible before noon. The heaviest precip will fall between noon and midnight today. Precip will be showery with brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning. Off and on showers will persist through tomorrow afternoon.
Highs will be upper 60s to low 70s. Lows tonight will be in the 50s and Thursday night they’ll be in the low 40s to low 50s.


Friday through Sunday… Monsoonal moisture will dwindle but we’ll still see isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be mid-70s to low 80s and lows will be upper 30s to upper 40s.

Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
78 | 90 / 1985 | 41 | 30 / 1962 |
I’ll do an update later today.
– Shawn
3 Responses
Sean:
We live in Twin Creek Village and as of 6:40 am our rain gauge showed 0.5 inch.
What a great morning pic! Washing my car in Texas today for good vibes!
Thanks for the update! I got out in the garden early today and picked all the red cherry tomatoes to keep from losing them to wind and weather. Now what to do with 5 pounds of cherry tomatoes…