Chance for PM Poppers all week…

Sunflower

A loan sunflower growing near one of our Aspens appears to be enjoying our wonderful weather this afternoon.

8-23-21: 2pm update…

Another wonderful day in Pagosa Springs. Unlike yesterday when the cumulus clouds were only decorative, today’s have the potential to turn in to scattered storms as the day progresses.

Screenshot 2021 08 23 132613
As advertised, a few scattered storms are popping up on radar this afternoon and moving NE. Such will be the case all week as we continue to be in a SW flow aloft.

As mentioned yesterday, there will be a chance for very scattered afternoon storms Monday-Sunday as a trough digs into the the Great Basin and a series of shortwave troughs switch our mid-level winds into the SW. Temperatures will continue to stay in the average range with lows in the 40’s and highs around 80. The models that were predicting a cold front early next week with rain have changed their minds today and have gone dry with no front. 😒 We are still a week away so they could change their minds several more times!

Screenshot 2021 08 23 133046
Today’s 3 day NWS rainfall forecast looks a whole lot like yesterday’s! Storms will be very scattered this week.
Screenshot 2021 08 23 133537
Precipitable water is fairly low (0.20) compared with typical monsoon amounts over 0.50. This gives us an idea of how much rain could fall from a thunderstorm if it were to find your backyard. I’d be happy with 0.20!

My forecast…

The rest of today…Perma-blue skies with a few decorative cumulus clouds turning themselves into wildly scattered storms later this afternoon.

Tuesday-Sunday: A chance for afternoon storms each afternoon, with the best odds now on Thursday. Look for lows in the 40’s and highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s. Winds will be 10-15 mph with some gusts over 25mph in the afternoons. Any storms that do develop will have the potential to produce wind gusts over 30mph and lightning. I think rain totals will range from 0-0.20 through the period. As usual, there will be rain lottery winners and losers!

8-24-21: 7:45am quick update…Drier air aloft and on the surface has moved into our area today, reducing our afternoon thunderstorm chances to almost zero. I’ll have a complete post on Wednesday, including the latest 6-10 and September outlook from NOAA.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for August 23d.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7991 / 19104429 / 1956

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Mark Langford

Mark Langford

I consider myself a "weather journalist" who has been studying and following meteorology since taking an earth science class in eighth grade. Later, when I became a professional commercial photographer, I learned that my continued studies in meteorology helped me plan outdoor photo assignments. I'm now a semi-retired photographer who teaches photo workshops, goes storm chasing and of course enjoys photographing great landscapes and clouds in our area. My fine art photography can be seen here: https://fineartamerica.com/profiles/1-mark-langford
Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

 

© 2023 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon