Great weather and no smoke!

Night

Thanks to an almost full moon last night, this image of Pagosa Peak taken at 10:30pm almost looks like a daytime shot!

8-22-21: Noon update…

So wonderful to see our perma-blue skies again and the dry air feels amazing! I hope all of you are getting a chance to be outside…

A pretty sad day when the rain lottery winners (my house included) only found 0.02 of precipitation in our rain gauges but unfortunately, most of the moisture from yesterday’s trough stayed to our NW.

Screenshot 2021 08 22 105424
COCORAHS rainfall reports from yesterday. Most of us only found the usual spider and dust in ours.

While it’s not a great chance, we may see some wildly scattered afternoon storms on Monday-Friday as a series of shortwave troughs switch our mid-level winds into the SW. It’s kind of a wimpy version of a monsoon flow, but better than nothing. Temperatures will continue to stay in the average range with lows in the 40’s and highs around 80. The models continue to forecast a pretty strong cold front during the last week of August along with decent odds for precipitation. Since we are still over 7 days out I’m not going to Vegas on the odds but I’ll give updates as the week continues.

Screenshot 2021 08 22 112406
The 3 day NWS rainfall forecast is looking pretty wimpy but as we know, one small thunderstorm parked over your rain gauge can add up quickly!

My forecast…

The rest of today…Perma-blue skies and fantastic weather with a few decorative cumulus clouds thrown in for fun.

Monday-Friday: A chance for afternoon storms each afternoon, with the best odds on Monday. Look for lows in the 40’s and highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s. Winds will be 10-15 mph with some gusts over 20mph in the afternoons. Any storms that do develop will have the potential to produce wind gusts over 30mph and lightning. I think rain totals will range from 0-0.20 through the period. As usual, there will be rain lottery winners and losers!

Saturday and Sunday: Pretty much the same as Monday-Friday with a slight chance for afternoon thunderstorms.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for August 22nd.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
8090 / 19104428 / 1964

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2 Responses

  1. 10:30 at night??!! Can’t wait till that’s our view, Mark! (We’re moving to our leased place this weekend.)

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