It’s great to see rain in the rain gauge! Pic taken 8/19/2021
Thursday – 19 Aug 2021 – 9:30am
Overall situation…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 82 and the low this morning was 47. The peak wind at the airfield was 39mph.
Most of the county got decent precip!


The trough is moving slower than I expected. It will move through our area tonight. Instability and moisture ahead of it will increase leading to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Snow is possible above 13,000ft in the mountains! By tomorrow and through much of next week, drier air and more stable conditions will take over leading to very few afternoon showers and thunderstorms.



My forecast…
Today… We’ll see scattered showers and thunderstorms. Storms will be capable of quick bursts of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.
High temps will be in the 60s and lows will be in the upper 30s to mid-40s. Afternoon winds will peak in the 25-30mph range with isolated gusts up to 40mph possible near showers and thunderstorms.

Friday through Wednesday… Afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be few and far between. Consider yourself lucky if you get measurable precip. Afternoons will be breezy with peak winds in the 20-25mph range.
Friday high temps will be around 70 to the mid-70s and lows will be mid-30s to mid-40s. Friday night will be the coldest with chilly spots flirting with freezing. Saturday, Sunday, and Monday high temps will be mid-70s to low 80s and lows will be upper 30s to mid-40s. By Tuesday highs will be in the 80s and lows will be in the 40s.

Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
80 | 92 / 1986 | 44 | 27 / 1950 |
My next update will be tomorrow afternoon.
– Shawn