Loving the bumper crop of sunflowers but could do without the smoky sunrise. Pic taken 8/17/2021
Tuesday – 17 Aug 2021 – 8:40am
Overall situation…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 77 and the low this morning was 45. The peak wind at the airfield yesterday was 24mph.
Precip yesterday was a dud for most of us.


The upper level high has weakened into a ridge and moved farther east. The weak trough moving through northern Utah today will break down the ridge even more which will open the door for a stronger system to move through our area Wednesday and Thursday. By Friday, drier air and more stable conditions will move in behind the system leading to fewer showers and thunderstorms.


My forecast…
Today… Will be pretty quiet with a spotty thunderstorm or two possible, mostly over the mountains. Storms will move west to east. Highs will be in the upper 70s to mid-80s and lows will be upper 30s to upper 40s. Afternoon winds will peak less than 20mph, though higher gusts are possible if you see a big dark cloud nearby.
Wednesday and Thursday… Shower and thunderstorm activity will increase through Wednesday afternoon and continue off and on through much of Wednesday night. Thursday afternoon will also be active. Storms will be capable of quick bursts of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.
Temps Wednesday will peak in the lower to upper 70s and lows will be mid-40s to the lower 50s. High temps Thursday will be in the 60s. Afternoon winds will peak around 20mph with isolated gusts up to 40mph possible near showers and thunderstorms.

Friday through Monday… Afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be few and far between. High temps will be mid-70s to the low-80s and lows will be upper 30s to upper 40s.

Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
80 | 90 / 1940 | 44 | 29 / 1950 |
My next update will be tomorrow morning.
– Shawn