No changes…rain chances continue!

Peak Storm

A storm moved over Pagosa Peak late yesterday afternoon.

8-14-21: 2:30pm update…

Another afternoon of wildly scattered storms yesterday. The rain lottery winners for the area were downtown Pagosa Springs again where 0.14 of an inch fell yesterday afternoon and up on Four Mile Road, where pea size hail and 0.30 fell. There will be more scattered storms this afternoon. Movement will be slowly SSW, so if one builds up over you, you could get a quick quarter of an inch or more very quickly.

Screenshot 2021 08 14 135037
Remote sensor rainfall reports from yesterday show downtown got another good storm.
Screenshot 2021 08 14 135235 1
A COCORAHS weather station in on Four Mile Road got pea size hail and 0.30 of rain yesterday.

No big change in our future monsoon setup for next week A trough moves into the Pacific NW on Monday and high pressure to our west will be nudged south into Mexico, allowing for a better SW flow next week and more moisture available throughout the atmosphere to fire up afternoon storms. As a result, what are currently very scattered storms will become less scattered next week starting tomorrow (Sunday).

Screenshot 2021 08 14 142823
2:30pm radar shows a large storm to the NW of Durango and some smaller ones to our north and SE. Movement of storms this afternoon is very slowly SSW.
Screenshot 2021 08 14 134936
The 3 day NWS rainfall forecast is looking great. Sunday will be one of our higher odds for rain over the next 3 days. These totals are averages, so there will be rain lottery winners and losers.

My forecast…

The rest of today…A chance for afternoon thunderstorms with highs in the low 80’s under partly cloudy skies. Storms will move very little (SSW) so if one does form over you, you could see a quick quarter of an inch of rain or more. Winds will be from the south from 10-15 mph with some gusts over 20mph in the afternoon. Any storms that do develop will have the potential to produce wind gusts over 30mph and lightning. Rain totals will range from 0-0.40.

Sunday-Thursday: Continued afternoon storms each afternoon. Look for lows in the 40’s to 50’s (lows will be rising as our dew points increase) and highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s. Winds will be 10-15 mph with some gusts over 20mph in the afternoons. Any storms that do develop will have the potential to produce wind gusts over 30mph and lightning. I think rain totals will range from 0.30-0.80 through the period. As usual, there will be rain lottery winners and losers!

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam ( for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for August 14th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
8089 / 19404532 / 1950

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Mark Langford

Mark Langford

I consider myself a "weather journalist" who has been studying and following meteorology since taking an earth science class in eighth grade. Later, when I became a professional commercial photographer, I learned that my continued studies in meteorology helped me plan outdoor photo assignments. I'm now a semi-retired photographer who teaches photo workshops, goes storm chasing and of course enjoys photographing great landscapes and clouds in our area. My fine art photography can be seen here:
Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy


© 2023 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon