Fun sky over the mountains this morning. Pic taken 8/2/2021
Monday – 2 Aug 2021 – 9:25am
At Stevens Field the high was 75 and the low this morning was 57. The peak wind at the airfield yesterday was 9mph.
Two days in a row I would have lost a taco bet. The anti-rain shield did its job again for much of the county. The exception was down towards Chromo where nearly ¾” fell.
*** The Grand Junction National Weather Service has issued a Flash Flood Watch valid from noon to 10pm this evening for the San Juan Mountains. *** This does not include Pagosa Springs. However, afternoon showers and thunderstorms are capable of dropping large amounts of rain in short periods anywhere in our area. Be careful around low-lying areas, drainages, and streams.
The ingredients are in place for widespread heavy showers and thunderstorms today and tomorrow. Precipitable water is very high so there is abundant moisture. Capes are also high indicating plenty of instability to fuel the showers and thunderstorms. The second half of the week the monsoonal moisture plume will weaken, and precipitable water and capes will decrease so afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be more isolated.
Today and tomorrow… This period will be active with scattered afternoon heavy rain. In the high country the first showers and thunderstorms can develop between 11 and noon and over the valley between 1 and 2pm. The best chance for showers and thunderstorms is 2 to 6pm with a lesser chance until midnight. Expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.
Afternoon winds will peak around 20mph though isolated convective gusts to 40mph are possible near showers and thunderstorms.
Wednesday through Sunday… The monsoonal moisture plume will break up, but not totally disappear. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be more isolated. High temps will be upper 70s to mid-80s and lows will be mid-40s to mid-50s.
Pagosa Springs historical data
|Average High||Record High / Year||Average Low||Record Low / Year|
|82||92 / 1958||46||36 / 1950|
I might do a quick update this afternoon, otherwise my next update will be tomorrow morning.