Pagosa Weather July temp & precip summary / drought update / river flow / August outlook

Tommy the weather dog at Ice Cave Ridge

Tommy the weather dog joined our family this week. Come say hi to him at the Piedra River trailhead Saturday morning.pic taken 7/31/2021

Sunday – 1 August 2021 – 7:30pm

July 2021 summary…

The average low for July is 45 and the average high is 83 – our warmest month. July precip averages 1.88″.

How did we do? Check out these charts…

July temps were slightly above average
July temps were slightly above average
July precip was well above average - up to 200% for some locations
July precip was well above average – up to 200% for some locations
July Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPE) are quite impressive.  This product estimates precip from various sources.  It is not perfect, but it's a decent source in data sparse areas like ours.
July Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPE) are quite impressive. This product estimates precip from various sources. It is not perfect, but it’s a decent source in data sparse areas like ours.
CoCoRaHS July precip reports vary considerably 1.85" to nearly 4". Nearly all of the reports are well above the 1.88" July average.
CoCoRaHS July precip reports vary considerably 1.85″ to nearly 4″. Nearly all of the reports are well above the 1.88″ July average.

It’s great to see Chama on here! CoCoRaHS observers in Arboles and Dulce would also be very helpful. This data is used by many agencies. Here is a link to learn all about this important program: https://www.cocorahs.org/Content.aspx?page=aboutus

Drought update…

The eastern part of the county has improved to "abnormally dry" but the southwest part of the county is still in "extreme drought".  Winter snow has far more impact on our drought conditions than summer rain.
The eastern part of the county has improved to “abnormally dry” but the southwest part of the county is still in “extreme drought”. Winter snow has far more impact on our drought conditions than summer rain.

River Flow…

San Juan River flow has been pretty close to average most of the last week
San Juan River flow has been pretty close to average most of the last week

August outlook…

The average low for August is 45 and the average high is 80. August precip averages 2.69″ – our wettest month.

The Climate Prediction Center's temp outlook for August indicates above average temps
The Climate Prediction Center’s temp outlook for August indicates above average temps
1 Aug 2021 pm Aug precip outlook
The Climate Prediction Center’s precip outlook for August indicates close-to-average precip
The Euro ensemble 45-day precip indicates 3.5" to 4.0" for August - above average
The Euro ensemble 45-day precip indicates 3.5″ to 4.0″ for August – above average

My next forecast post will be tomorrow morning.

  • Shawn

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Shawn Pro

Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

One Response

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

 

© 2024 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon