Pagosa Weather July temp & precip summary / drought update / river flow / August outlook

Tommy the weather dog joined our family this week. Come say hi to him at the Piedra River trailhead Saturday morning. – pic taken 7/31/2021

Sunday – 1 August 2021 – 7:30pm

July 2021 summary…

The average low for July is 45 and the average high is 83 – our warmest month. July precip averages 1.88″.

How did we do? Check out these charts…

**July temps were slightly above average**

July precip was well above average - up to 200% for some locations — **July precip was well above average – up to 200% for some locations**

July Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPE) are quite impressive. This product estimates precip from various sources. It is not perfect, but it's a decent source in data sparse areas like ours. — July Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPE) are quite impressive. This product estimates precip from various sources. It is not perfect, but it’s a decent source in data sparse areas like ours.

CoCoRaHS July precip reports vary considerably 1.85" to nearly 4". Nearly all of the reports are well above the 1.88" July average. — **CoCoRaHS July precip reports vary considerably 1.85″ to nearly 4″. Nearly all of the reports are well above the 1.88″ July average.**

It’s great to see Chama on here! CoCoRaHS observers in Arboles and Dulce would also be very helpful. This data is used by many agencies. Here is a link to learn all about this important program: https://www.cocorahs.org/Content.aspx?page=aboutus

Drought update…

The eastern part of the county has improved to "abnormally dry" but the southwest part of the county is still in "extreme drought". Winter snow has far more impact on our drought conditions than summer rain. — The eastern part of the county has improved to “abnormally dry” but the southwest part of the county is still in “extreme drought”. Winter snow has far more impact on our drought conditions than summer rain.

River Flow…

August outlook…

The average low for August is 45 and the average high is 80. August precip averages 2.69″ – our wettest month.

The Climate Prediction Center's temp outlook for August indicates above average temps — **The Climate Prediction Center’s temp outlook for August indicates above average temps**

1 Aug 2021 pm Aug precip outlook — **The Climate Prediction Center’s precip outlook for August indicates close-to-average precip**

The Euro ensemble 45-day precip indicates 3.5" to 4.0" for August - above average — **The Euro ensemble 45-day precip indicates 3.5″ to 4.0″ for August – above average**

My next forecast post will be tomorrow morning.

Shawn

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I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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One Response

Peggie says:

August 2, 2021 at 6:52 am

We always enjoy your input, Shawn!

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