Some drier air moved in…

Hummingbird

A Rufous Hummingbird stands watch over his chosen feeder this morning just waiting to pounce on any other hummingbird who would dare take a drink out of the feeder!

7-27-21: 11am update…

The mid-level water vapor satellite imagery shows some drier air moving into our area today (yellow). While we will still see afternoon storms develop, they will be more scattered than in recent days. By tomorrow I expect us to return to more favorable storm development conditions again and we should see more coverage. High pressure is forecast to move to the east and should allow for additional SW flow for the rest of the week.

Screenshot 2021 07 27 100538
Mid-level water vapor imagery indicates some drier air has filtered into our area (yellow). We will see fewer storms today but they will still be around.

Yesterday was a perfect example of how convective activity can be so random! Storms were barely moving (as will be the case all week) and if you were lucky to have had one form over your home you ended up with some impressive rain totals. After a very lucky rain streak at our home about a mile north of Hatcher Lake, we only ended up with 0.05 of rainfall yesterday. Below are the latest remote and COCORAHS reports.

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Remote rainfall sensor reports from yesterday.
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COCORAHS reports from yesterday.
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The latest 3 day rainfall average forecast from the NWS

My forecast…

The rest of today…A chance for scattered afternoon storms with highs in the upper 70s. Look for very little movement in storms today. Rainfall totals will range from 0-0.30.

Wednesday-Saturday: Continued good chances for afternoon thunderstorms. As is the case with convective activity, there will be rain lottery winners and losers. Each day we could see 0-0.50 inches of rain with double that total in the mountains. Lows will remain in the upper 40’s to low 50’s and highs in the upper 70’s.

For any of you visiting our area, watch out for rapidly changing weather conditions when storms move in! Temps can drop 20 degrees in minutes, winds can gust to 40mph and lightning and small hail is always a possibility.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for July 27th

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
8290 / 19664634 / 1995

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