A plethora of poppers today!

TC

We have some TC’s (towering cumulus) forming this afternoon…soon to be storms!

7-26-21: 1pm update…

Not much change (nor will there be this week) since my post on Sunday except that the low pressure has now reached southern California and is giving that area some badly needed rain this morning. With the low out of the way, our moist surface and mid levels of the atmosphere will allow for afternoon and evening pop up storms. These tend to move very little so if one happens to build up over you, you can quickly get a half inch or more of rain in a very short time period.

Screenshot 2021 07 26 112650
Mid level water vapor imagery shows lots of blue and white tones over the SW…that means there is moisture in the mid levels of our atmosphere…perfect for producing afternoon thunderstorms.
Screenshot 2021 07 26 113023
Precipitable water values will approach an inch this afternoon. This gives us an idea of how much moisture is in the atmosphere and indicates that if a storm forms over your backyard, you could see some brief heavy rain.

Most of us got at least some rainfall yesterday as seen in the rain graphics below.

Screenshot 2021 07 26 083744
Remote 24 hour rainfall totals from yesterday and last night. Areas to the west and SW did quite well!
Screenshot 2021 07 26 083556
COCORAHS 24 hour rainfall totals from yesterday and last night.

My forecast…

The rest of today…A good chance for scattered afternoon storms with highs in the upper 70s. Look for very little movement in storms today. Rainfall totals will range from 0-0.50.

Tuesday-Friday: Continued good chances for afternoon thunderstorms. As is the case with convective activity, there will be rain lottery winners and losers. Each day we could see 0-0.50 inches of rain with double that total in the mountains. Lows will remain in the upper 40’s to low 50’s and highs in the upper 70’s.

For any of you visiting our area, watch out for rapidly changing weather conditions when storms move in! Temps can drop 20 degrees in minutes, winds can gust to 40mph and lightning and small hail is always a possibility.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for July 26th

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
8289 / 19664731 / 1995

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2 Responses

  1. Lottery winner, Lake Forest area… .56″ from weather station, but .95″ in old fashion rain gauge. It really came down…

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