There were lots of hail reports yesterday. Lucinda sent this picture from the hospital area. Pic taken 7/21/2021
Quick update – Thursday – 22 July 2021 – 2:25pm
So far the activity has been focused up Piedra Road in The Reserve, Hatcher Lake, Rouch, and Jacobson Hill. There have been lots of lightning strikes in the area.
Like yesterday, cells are very slow movers and capable of dropping large amounts of rain in short periods, along with gusty winds, small hail, lots of lightning, and minor flooding. We’re not done yet today and tomorrow will be similar.
My next post might be this evening or tomorrow afternoon.
Thursday – 22 Jul 2021 – 9:30am
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 85 and the low this morning was 56. Yesterday’s peak wind at the airfield was 21mph.
Precip totals yesterday range from zero to 2.1” – wow! We got a bunch of reports of heavy rain and hail. The graphics below highlight the areas that got hit the hardest. Thanks a bunch for your reports and pictures!
*** The Grand Junction National Weather Service has issued a Flash Flood Watch valid noon to midnight today for the southwest San Juan Mountains. *** At this time, this does not include Pagosa Springs. However, storms the next few days will be capable of dropping large amounts of rain in short periods anywhere in our area. Be careful around low-lying areas, drainages, and streams.
The upper level high pressure is to our north and will wobble around the region for the next 5-7 days. The monsoonal moisture plume will be focused over our heads through tomorrow giving us brief periods of heavy rain. Then the plume may weaken temporarily, but not go away. Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms are likely for a while.
Today through Wednesday… In the high country the first showers and thunderstorms can develop between 11 and noon and over the valley between 1 and 2pm. The best chance for showers and thunderstorms is 2 to 6pm with a lesser chance until midnight.
The atmosphere is primed for impressive precip. Expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning. Be leery of flooding in low-lying areas and flash floods near drainages and streams. Just like yesterday, some areas will get hammered while others hardly get anything.
Highs will be mid-70s to the mid-80s. Lows will be upper-40s to mid-50s.
Afternoon winds will peak around 20mph though isolated convective gusts to 40mph are possible near showers and thunderstorms.
Pagosa Springs historical data
|Average High||Record High / Year||Average Low||Record Low / Year|
|82||91 / 1939||47||34 / 1993|
I might do a quick update as things develop today, otherwise my next update will be tomorrow afternoon.