Lots of good news…

Murky

Another murky morning as Pagosa Peak is shrouded in smoke again.

7-13-21: 10:30am update.

Even though our day is starting off dry and murky, there is some good news to talk about this morning. Let’s start with the smoke issue…with high pressure moving SW and a shortwave approaching in our mid levels, the smoke should start abating by tomorrow. Below are some graphics for today vs tomorrow.

Screenshot 2021 07 13 095813
Current smoke and air quality graphic for today.
Screenshot 2021 07 13 095943
Today’s air quality for our area.
Screenshot 2021 07 13 095959
Tomorrow’s air quality forecast for our area…looking much better!
Screenshot 2021 07 13 102126
Rainfall totals for Pagosa Springs were pretty much nada for yesterday.

While very little rain fell over our yesterday, there were some storms that formed in La Plata county and in far SE and western Archuleta county. With an approaching shortwave and higher surface moisture (precipitable water), there should be a lot more activity today through Thursday.

Screenshot 2021 07 13 100207
Lots of midlevel moisture is heading our way!
Screenshot 2021 07 13 100253
The latest 3 day NWS rainfall forecast is looking good!

My forecast…

The rest of today…A good chance for storms not only this afternoon, but into the evening. Movement will be SE, so look to the NW (if you can see through the smoke).

Wednesday-Thursday: Look for great odds for storms through Thursday. As is the case with convective activity, there will be rain lottery winners and losers but I think by Thursday night most of us will have found at least 0.40 of rain in our gauges with some of you finding over an inch. As usual, the mountains will see about double those totals. Lows will remain in the 40’s and highs will drop to the upper 70’s for Tuesday through Thursday due to increased cloud cover and rain. Rain odds decrease the rest of the week but there will be a continued chance for PM Poppers. For any of you visiting our area, watch out for rapidly changing weather conditions! Temps can drop 20 degrees in minutes, winds can gust to 40mph and lightning is always a possibility.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
8398 / 19394530 / 1941

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