It’s going to be warm today!
Saturday – 10 Jul 2021 – 8:05am
Overall situation…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 90 and the low this morning was 50. Yesterday’s peak wind was 29mph though a few spots hit 40mph as showers and thunderstorms moved through. Precip was light for most us, but there were a couple of big rain lottery winners. Devil Mountain got 0.52” and the upper Blanco got 0.69”.
The upper level high pressure is currently over southwest Utah and will slowly move towards the southwest. Upper level northwest flow will dry us out and warm us up today. Things ramp up a little Sunday and Monday, and then will be more active the second half of the week as more subtropical moisture moves into the area.
My forecast…
Today through Monday… Today will be hot and dry in the valley but an isolated shower or thunderstorm is possible in the high country. On Sunday and Monday spotty afternoon showers or thunderstorms are possible, especially in the mountains.
High temps today:
– Town and Uptown mid-90s
– Above 7,800ft low 90s
– Arboles around 105 – yuck!
Sunday and Monday will be about 5 degrees cooler with highs in the mid-80s to low 90s. Lows will be upper 40s to mid-50s.
Afternoon winds will peak in the 20-25mph range today. Isolated convective gusts to 40mph are possible near showers and thunderstorms Sunday and Monday.
*** The National Weather Service has issued a Heat Advisory valid today from noon to 8pm. With near record heat and gusty afternoon winds, BE CAREFUL WITH THOSE FIRES. ***
Tuesday through Friday… Increased precipitable water and capes, a measure of instability, indicate a more active period with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.
Temps will be closer to average with highs in the lower to upper 80s and lows in the mid-40s to mid-50s.
Afternoon winds will peak less than 20mph, though isolated convective gusts to 40mph are possible near showers and thunderstorms.
Pagosa Springs historical data
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 83 | 93 / 1989 | 44 | 30 / 1912 |
Mark will take over tomorrow.
– Shawn
2 Responses
High yesterday was 95 F at my house located 4 miles NNW of downtown PS but humidity was only 8%. My car thermometer measured 102 F downtown at 2 pm. It was hot but OK in the shade!
I’m looking forward to using your post as my primary Pagosa Springs weather source. thsnkyou