A glorious view along Mill Creek Road this morning. Pic taken 7/8/2021.
Thursday – 8 Jul 2021 – 9:10pm
Overall situation…
At Stevens Field the high today was 86 and the low this morning was 51. Today’s peak wind was 13mph. Heavy rain fell in a few lucky areas this afternoon while hardly any fell in others. The rain lottery winner was Turkey Springs with 0.63”! The Upper Blanco also did good with 0.25”.
The upper level high pressure is currently over southern Utah and will slowly move towards the southwest. Upper level northwest flow will dry us out and warm us up through Saturday. We’ll see a few spotty afternoon showers and thunderstorms tomorrow and then Saturday will be dry. Things ramp up a little Monday and Tuesday, and then will be more active the second half of the week as more subtropical moisture moves into the area.
My forecast…
Friday through Sunday… There will be a few spotty afternoon showers and thunderstorms Friday and Sunday. Saturday will be dry in the valley but an isolated shower or thunderstorm is possible in the high country.
Highs will be mid-80s to mid-90s and lows will be upper 40s to mid-50s. Friday and Saturday will be the warmest with temps near the tops of those ranges and then Sunday it will cool towards the bottoms of those ranges.
Afternoon winds will peak less than 20mph, though isolated convective gusts to 40mph are possible near showers and thunderstorms.
Monday and Tuesday… We’ll see a few more afternoon showers and thunderstorms, especially over the mountains.
Highs will be mid-80s to low 90s and lows will be mid-40s to mid-50s.
Afternoon winds will peak less than 20mph, though isolated convective gusts to 40mph are possible near showers and thunderstorms.
Pagosa Springs historical data
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 83 | 96 / 1989 | 44 | 30 / 1955 |
My next update will be Saturday morning.
– Shawn
