And the rain continues!

Morning showers

Some showers moved into Pagosa Springs early this morning…

6-30-21: 9am update…Continued rain chances for the near future and beyond.

It’s been a great week of rain for most of us and even though rain odds will fluctuate over the next few days, they won’t go away. Today’s weather will be influenced by an upper level low over northern Utah that will be shifting our upper level winds into more of a SW flow. Looking at the latest mid level water vapor imagery, there is some drier air to our SW that may lower our odds for rain today as the biggest moisture fetch will be to our east. The remains of Enrique will continue to move NE into New Mexico where Flash Flood Watches have been issued for central and southern NM.

Screenshot 2021 06 30 075243
An upper level low over northern Utah will impact our weather over the next couple of days switching our mid level moisture flow to SW. Yellow indicates drier air in the mid levels. NM will be tapping into more moisture from Tropical Storm Enrique than we will be.
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7 day COCORAHS rainfall totals for our area.
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Digital rainfall totals as of yesterday evening.

Rainfall totals yesterday ranged from a few hundredths to close to 4 tenths of an inch. 7 day totals have approached and exceeded an inch of rain. The average June rainfall total is 0.95 inches and we still have one more day to boost our June totals.

Screenshot 2021 06 30 075417
The latest NWS 3 day rainfall forecast shows less rain for us over the next 3 days than what we have been seeing lately.

My forecast…

Today…Partly cloudy this morning with storms building up again this afternoon. Look for storms to move from SW to NE today. Wind gusts to around 15mph except higher in and around the storms. Highs will peak to the low 70’s, then drop back to the low to mid 40’s overnight. I think precipitation totals through this afternoon will range from 0.05-0.20 for our area and about double that for the mountains. Since these will be scattered storms there will be rain lottery winners and losers as usual. For any of you visiting our area, watch out for rapidly changing weather conditions! Temps can drop 20 degrees in minutes, winds can gust to 40mph and lightning is always a possibility.

For the rest of the week: Look for afternoon thunderstorms to form all week long. Temps will range from the 40’s for lows and highs in the 70’s through Friday, then warming to the 40’s and low 80’s by the weekend. While storms will become more scattered, rain will continue to be in our forecast through the weekend and into next week.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
8297/ 19904228 / 1942

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Mark Langford

Mark Langford

I consider myself a "weather journalist" who has been studying and following meteorology since taking an earth science class in eighth grade. Later, when I became a professional commercial photographer, I learned that my continued studies in meteorology helped me plan outdoor photo assignments. I'm now a semi-retired photographer who teaches photo workshops, goes storm chasing and of course enjoys photographing great landscapes and clouds in our area. My fine art photography can be seen here: https://fineartamerica.com/profiles/1-mark-langford
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