Same scenario, just a different direction…

Happy plants

My plants enjoyed an additional 0.07 of rain overnight…another good chance for rain today.

6-29-21: 8:30am update…mid level moisture continues, but now from the south.

Storms were a little more scattered and weak yesterday, but most of us managed to find additional rainfall in our gauges. The surprise was some showers that moved through during the night and added to those totals!

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Digital rainfall totals through yesterday evening. More was added overnight.
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COCORAHS 24 hour rainfall totals.

Thanks to the Hell High over the Pacific NW moving east, high pressure to our east and an upper level low in New Mexico, our mid level moisture flow is now from the south. This moisture flow will tap into Tropical Storm Enrique, giving us a great chance for afternoon storms today and tomorrow.

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Mid level flow is now from the south and will draw moisture from Tropical Storm Enrique.
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Enrique will add moisture to our rainfall potential over the next couple of days.
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The latest 3 day NWS rainfall forecast. This does not include what has already fallen over the past 2 days.

My forecast…

Today…Partly cloudy this morning with storms building up again this afternoon. Look for storms to move from south to north today. Wind gusts to around 15mph except higher in and around the storms. Highs will peak to around 70 degrees, then drop back to upper 30’s and low 40’s overnight. I think precipitation totals through this afternoon will range from 0.05-0.40 for our area and about double that for the mountains. Since these will be scattered storms there will be rain lottery winners and losers as usual. For any of you visiting our area, watch out for rapidly changing weather conditions! Temps can drop 20 degrees in minutes, winds can gust to 40mph and lightning is always a possibility.

For the rest of the week: Look for afternoon thunderstorms to form all week long. Temps will range from the upper 30’s and low 40’s for lows and highs in the 70’s early this week, then warming to the 40’s and upper 70’s as the week progresses. The average rainfall totals by the end of week could reach over an inch for most locations in the valley.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
8293/ 19904128 / 1951

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Mark Langford

Mark Langford

I consider myself a "weather journalist" who has been studying and following meteorology since taking an earth science class in eighth grade. Later, when I became a professional commercial photographer, I learned that my continued studies in meteorology helped me plan outdoor photo assignments. I'm now a semi-retired photographer who teaches photo workshops, goes storm chasing and of course enjoys photographing great landscapes and clouds in our area. My fine art photography can be seen here: https://fineartamerica.com/profiles/1-mark-langford
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