My grass seeds are happy!

Rain

Storms moved in yesterday afternoon giving most of us some badly needed rain.

6-28-21: 7:30am update…Hell high moves out of the NW, SW flow moves in.

Before we discuss an exciting weather week ahead, let’s talk about the great rain yesterday! When some of us (that would be me) were convinced that my rain gauge would have nothing but dust and a dead fly in it yesterday afternoon, a round of slow rain moved through and in two hours there was 0.26 inches of liquid in my COCORAHS gauge!

Screenshot 2021 06 27 064159 1
Rainfall totals were very decent across our area yesterday afternoon and evening, especially west of town. More is on the way!

The Hell High over the Pacific NW will drift NE today, shifting our upper level winds to the NE and giving us another round of afternoon storms this afternoon. As the week progresses, our flow shifts to the SW (traditional monsoon pattern), tapping into rich Pacific moisture from Hurricane Enrique (will be a depression by then) and giving us even greater chances for rain. Storms by the end of the week will be very slow movers, so flash flooding could be a problem.

114054 5day cone no line and wind
Remains of Hurricane Enrique could enhance our rain chances later this week as we return to a SW flow.
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The latest NWS 3 day rainfall forecast.

My forecast…

Today…Partly cloudy this morning with storms building up again this afternoon. Look for storms to move from NE to SW today. Wind gusts to around 15mph except higher in and around the storms. Highs will peak to around 70 degrees, then drop back to upper 30’s and low 40’s overnight. I think precipitation totals through this afternoon will once again be 0-0.30 for our area and about double that for the mountains. Since these will be scattered storms there will be rain lottery winners and losers as usual. For any of you visiting our area, watch out for rapidly changing weather conditions! Temps can drop 20 degrees in minutes, winds can gust to 40mph and lightning is always a possibility.

For this week: Look for afternoon thunderstorms to form all week long. Temps will range from the upper 30’s and low 40’s for lows and highs in the 70’s early this week, then warming to the 40’s and upper 70’s as the week progresses. The average rainfall totals by the end of week could reach over an inch for most locations in the valley.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
8394 / 19903922 / 1948

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Mark Langford

Mark Langford

I consider myself a "weather journalist" who has been studying and following meteorology since taking an earth science class in eighth grade. Later, when I became a professional commercial photographer, I learned that my continued studies in meteorology helped me plan outdoor photo assignments. I'm now a semi-retired photographer who teaches photo workshops, goes storm chasing and of course enjoys photographing great landscapes and clouds in our area. My fine art photography can be seen here: https://fineartamerica.com/profiles/1-mark-langford
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