Dry, breezy, warm, and smokey for a while…

Smoke aloft was noticeable over our mountains this morning. Pic taken 6/9/2021 at 6:45am

Smoke aloft was noticeable over our mountains this morning. Pic taken 6/9/2021 at 6:45am

Wednesday – 9 Jun 2021 – 12:50pm

Overall situation…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 80 and the low this morning was 39. Yesterday’s peak wind was 23mph.  The cold spots were in the upper 20s this morning…brrrr!  Our peak wind yesterday was 31mph just north of Turkey Springs.

Smoke isn’t as bad today, but unfortunately it will be in and out of our area for a while. The primary cause of our smoke are the Telegraph and Mescal fires east of Phoenix.  Combined, these active fires have burned 150,888 acres and are less than 25% contained.

The Slate Fire, 23 miles northwest of Flagstaff, was first reported just two days ago.  It has blown up quickly to 2,000 acres and will also send smoke our way.

This image is an HRRR forecast smoke product valid at 4pm Wednesday. It depicts smoke at all levels. In our area much of the smoke is aloft. I added the most active fires that are sending smoke our way.
This image is an HRRR forecast smoke product valid at 4pm Wednesday. It depicts smoke at all levels. In our area much of the smoke is aloft. I added the most active fires that are sending smoke our way.
This is the HRRR smoke valid at 8pm Thursday.  Note that the winds turn more westerly and push the smoke from the huge complex burning east of Phoenix towards Albuquerque and the smoke from the fire northwest of Flagstaff towards us.
This is the HRRR smoke valid at 8pm Thursday.  Note that the winds turn more westerly and push the smoke from the huge complex burning east of Phoenix towards Albuquerque and the smoke from the fire northwest of Flagstaff towards us.

*** There is a Red Flag Warning valid THURSDAY from 9am to midnight. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. ***

I expect similar conditions all week.  Even if a Red Flag Warning is not issued, consider the fire danger extremely high.

My forecast…

Rest of today through Monday… We’ll continue to see patches of high cirrus, little cumulus clouds, and periods of smoke.

Today winds will peak in the 20-25mph range.  Tomorrow they’ll peak in the 30-35mph range, and then the rest of the week they’ll be back in the 20-25mph range.

High temps will be in the upper 70s to mid-80s through Friday.  This weekend will be warmer with highs in the lower to upper 80s.  Lows will be in the mid-30s to mid-40s. With this really dry air, the cold spots will continue to see lows around 30.

NBM precip through Monday at midnight is nearly dry for the whole state.
NBM precip through Monday at midnight is nearly dry for the whole state.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7690 / 19853417 / 1950

My next update will be on Friday unless something pops up.

– Shawn

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Shawn Pro

Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

 

© 2024 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon