Could get a bit stormy this afternoon…

Memorial Day

Remembering all of our fallen heroes who have given the ultimate sacrifice for our freedoms.

5-31-21: 11am update…Although our morning has been pretty calm, this afternoon and evening could get pretty stormy.

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We are in the marginal risk for severe storms this afternoon.
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We are in the “Marginal Risk” for severe storms this afternoon.

Although we are just on the edge of “Marginal Risk” for severe thunderstorms this afternoon, we are in the green zone. As of 10:45am, there is a line of storms to our NW, moving SE. As we all know, the mountains will impact the storms, but if they hold together, they could be the beginning of a stormy afternoon and evening for us. Since this is a convective event, there will be some of us who could get close to an inch of rain and others who may get zero.

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10:45am radar.
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A low pressure over eastern AZ will slowly move east today, sparking storms along the way. A trough to our west will also be moving towards us and will give us additional chances for storms this evening.

A low pressure over eastern AZ will slowly move east today, sparking storms along the way. A trough to our west will also be moving towards us and will give us additional chances for storms this evening. Even after the trough moves through tomorrow, we will continue to see scattered afternoon storms each day this week. There is a chance for some fairly heavy rain (over an inch) this weekend, but the models are still in disagreement on whether this event will pan out. I will have more on this on Tuesday’s post.

My forecast…

The rest of the day…Turning mostly cloudy with a good chance for thunderstorms this afternoon…a small chance that some storms could become severe with hail and high winds. Winds will be 10-15 but could gust over 40 when storms are near. If you are hiking biking or camping please be prepared for very quickly changing conditions.

Tonight through Tuesday: A trough will move through over the next 12 hours giving us a good chance for some showers and thunderstorms. I think precipitation totals for the rest of today and tonight will range from 0.20-0.60 for our area. Under mostly cloudy skies, look for our highs to stay in the 60’s today, then return to the 70’s the rest of the week with continued chances for wildly scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Lows will be in the 30’s. We could have a wet Friday-Sunday but I want to wait for more model runs before discussing that tomorrow.

-Mark Langford

My weather cam died about a week ago but has now been replaced with a much better one! Check it out on my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7387/ 19563220 / 1916

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2 Responses

  1. Nice new weather cam, Mark! I’ll be interested in hearing your experience with Starlink after a few months.

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