A trough, shortwave and an upper level low!

Weather Station

My weather station’s anemometer is getting a little workout this afternoon with winds gusting to nearly 20mph. It’s a great spring afternoon!

5-30-21: 2:30pm update…A decent chance for rain on Monday, then a slight chance each afternoon this week. Hikers, bikers and campers…you have been warned!

First, we interrupt our normally scheduled forecast to thank some new weather donors! A shout out to Mary Fox, Pattye Holton, Rick & Debbie Moore, Mary Lou Sprowle, Sherry Vanatta, Stephanie Wilson and Camp 13 Education. If this keeps up we might be able to afford our own Doppler Radar so Pagosa Springs can actually see snow storms in the winter!

If you are traveling east or SE this afternoon heads up for some severe storms!

Screenshot 2021 05 30 140939
A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect for much of eastern CO and NM this afternoon.
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An upper level low off the coast of Baja CA will track east over the next few days, impacting NM and Texas more than us. A trough and shortwave to the west of us will be the major player tomorrow.

An upper level low off the coast of Baja CA will track east over the next few days, impacting NM and Texas more than us. A trough and shortwave to the west of us will be the major player tomorrow giving us a chance for morning showers, then a chance for some afternoon thunderstorms. Best odds for rain will be from sunrise to sunset. The upper level low to our south will keep our atmosphere unstable enough to produce scattered pm poppers for much of this week. Since this will be a convective scenario, there will be rain lottery winners and losers.

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How much rain the NWS thinks we will see over the next 3 days.

My forecast…

The rest of the day…Partly cloudy with wind gusts to around 20mph. Highs will peak in the upper 70s, then drop back to the 30’s overnight.

Tonight through Tuesday: A shortwave and trough will move through over the next 36 hours giving us a good chance for some showers and thunderstorms on Monday. I think precipitation totals for Monday will range from 0.20-0.60 for our area. Under mostly cloudy skies, look for our highs to stay in the 60’s on Monday, then return to the 70’s the rest of the week with continued chances for wildly scattered afternoon thunderstorms.

-Mark Langford

My weather cam died about a week ago but has now been replaced with a much better one! Check it out on my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Check out the extremes for today…89 degrees for the record high and 12 for the low!

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7389 / 19103212 / 1916

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