The Piedra River and all area streams are running high due to run-off. Pic taken 5/8/2021
Sunday – 9 May 2021 – 9:10am
Overall situation…
The high temp at Stevens Field yesterday was 65 and the low this morning was 32. Yesterday’s peak wind was 44mph. Mark’s house in “Little Siberia” had a low this morning of 23. It’s still too early to leave your plants outside!
A weak upper level low is spinning over central Montana causing a broad area of strong upper level southwest flow. There is barely enough moisture and instability to kick up an afternoon shower or two over the mountains today and Tuesday. Our chance for a little precip is a bit better tomorrow as a weak trough moves through in the evening.
By Wednesday ridging will then build back into the region and keep us nice the rest of the week.
My forecast…
Today through Tuesday… Expect partly cloudy skies in the mornings and building clouds in the afternoons with spotty showers over the mountains. Tomorrow (Monday) we’ll see a few more clouds and a better chance for precip and a thunderstorm or two, especially in the afternoon and evening. Precip amounts in the valley will range from zero to 0.10” and the mountains above 10,000ft will get 1-2” of snow – it will be spotty. As always with showers and thunderstorms this time of year, rain, graupel, and small hail are possible. Winds will peak in the 30-35mph range near showers.
High temps will be upper 50s to mid-60s and lows will be mid-20s to mid-30s.
Wednesday through Friday… I expect lots of sun and warmer temps. High temps will be in the upper 60s to mid-70s and lows will be upper 20s to upper 30s. Afternoon winds will peak in the 20-25mph range.
Pagosa Springs historical data
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 66 | 82 / 1989 | 28 | 15 / 1930 |
Unless something pops up, my next update will be tomorrow morning.
– Shawn
