Snowpack, drought, river flow, and long range outlook

Colorado snowpack as of 4/18/2021. Our nearby basins are at 61%. The Upper San Juan and Wolf Creek Summit snotels are doing a bit better at 77% and 79%.

Colorado snowpack as of 4/18/2021. Our nearby basins are at 61%.  The Upper San Juan and Wolf Creek Summit snotels are doing a bit better at 77% and 79%.

This week’s drought map shows no change in the last two weeks for Archuleta County. Sadly our snow season is about over and drought conditions may slowly get worse.
This week’s drought map shows no change in the last two weeks for Archuleta County. Sadly our snow season is about over and drought conditions may slowly get worse.
San Juan River flow is on the left and the Piedra is on the right. The recent cold snap has put a hold on spring run-off. There is still a bunch of water locked up in our snowpack. When the high country has low temps at or above freezing, run-off will ramp up again.
San Juan River flow is on the left and the Piedra is on the right. The recent cold snap has put a hold on spring run-off. There is still a bunch of water locked up in our snowpack. When the high country has low temps at or above freezing, run-off will ramp up again.
The precip outlook for the last week of April is on the left and for May is on the right. I expect below average precip this week and these products indicate below average precip through May. This does not bode well for our drought.
The precip outlook for the last week of April is on the left and for May is on the right. I expect below average precip this week and these products indicate below average precip through May. This does not bode well for our drought.

My next forecast post will be tomorrow morning.

– Shawn

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I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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6 Responses

  1. Thank you for the elite and especially local weather forecasting and updates. We are so lucky to have you in PS community. Thanks for your continuous service to country!

    Reply

  4. Thank you so much for providing this very helpful and knowledgeable website for Pagosa. You are all very much appreciated.

    Reply

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