I just see clear skies and beautiful snow-covered mountains this morning – 4/19/2021 at 6:45am
Monday – 19 Apr 2021 – 8:00am
At the airfield the high yesterday was 51 and the low this morning was 25. Our low was 20 just north of Turkey Springs – 5-6 degrees warmer than I expected. Our peak wind yesterday afternoon was 21mph.
*** There is a Red Flag Warning valid today, Monday, noon to 9pm. “A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior.” ***
A frontal system will move from north to south across Colorado today. There is hardly any moisture with it, and by the time it reaches us, there will be even less. The mountains might get up to an inch of snow this evening, but I don’t expect anything in the valley.
This week we will be in an in-between pattern. A couple of weak, moisture-starved systems will move through and keep the atmosphere just unstable enough to kick up a few isolated afternoon showers. Thursday and Friday look like our best chance for a little precip. Unfortunately, the pesky spring winds will stay with us.
Today through Wednesday… Scattered cumulus clouds will develop each afternoon. There is a slight chance for a couple of them to build into showers over the mountains, especially this afternoon and evening. Afternoon winds will peak in the 25-35mph range. High temps will be mid-50s to low 60s and lows will be in the lower 20s to lower 30s.
Thursday and Friday… Expect partly cloudy skies and a chance for afternoon showers, especially over the mountains. High temps will be mid-50s to low 60s and lows will be in the mid-20s to mid-30s. Afternoon winds will peak in the 20-30mph range. Unfortunately with the dry air and gusty winds, fire danger will remain high.
Note: This is convective/showery precip so it will be spotty. Some spots could get none while others could get more than the models indicate.
Pagosa Springs historical data
|Record High / Year
|Record Low / Year
|76 / 1954
|11 / 1963
Mark will take over tomorrow.