Cold tonight and then a warming trend

Love seeing these guys on our morning walks! – pic taken 3/30/2021

Tuesday – 30 Mar 2021 – 6:45pm

Overall situation…

The cold front moved through last night with no precip and just a few clouds. This afternoon temps only made it into the low to mid-40s and those blustery winds made it feel chilly.

Peak winds this afternoon:

Stevens Field 35mph
Pagosa Weather just north of Turkey Springs 36mph
Wolf Creek Summit 50mph

Ridging will take over the rest of the week, however a weak trough will move through Friday afternoon/evening and bring a few more clouds and a chance for a few mountain showers. The trough won’t have any impact on the warmer than average temps. Friday, Saturday, and Sunday will be really nice!

My forecast…

Tonight through Sunday… Skies will be mostly clear except for Friday afternoon when spotty showers are possible over the mountains.

Low temps tonight will be 0-10. High temps tomorrow will be upper 40s to mid-50s and lows will be mid-teens to low 20s. Thursday will be a little warmer and then Friday through Sunday we’ll have highs in the 60s and lows in the 20s.

The GFS precip for Friday shows 0.10” to 0.20” over our mountains. It is the most optimistic of the models I looked at.

The Euro precip for Friday shows less than 0.10” over our mountains. It’s consistent with the other models I looked at.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average High	Record High / Year	Average Low	Record Low / Year
52	72 / 1986	18	-8 / 1975

My next post will be tomorrow afternoon.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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One Response

Keena Carstensen says:

March 30, 2021 at 7:38 pm

Looks like spring is here for good!!! I’m seeing green grasses sprouting all over the place.

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