Frontal passage tonight – breezy and cooler tomorrow

View along upper Piedra Road - pic taken 3/27/2021

View along upper Piedra Road – pic taken 3/27/2021

Monday – 29 Mar 2021 – 3:20pm

Overall situation…

Peak winds so far this afternoon:

  • Stevens Field 30mph
  • Pagosa Weather just north of Turkey Springs 29mph
  • Wolf Creek Summit 55mph

A cold front currently sits across northern Utah and is moving southeast towards Colorado.  It will move through our area tonight.  The only impact to us will be cooler and drier air though the mountains could see a few snowflakes.

Tomorrow the jetstream stays over our heads leading to another breezy afternoon and a slight chance for a few mountain snowflakes.

Wednesday through the rest of the week ridging will take over and give us more glorious spring weather.

Water vapor shows lots of dry air across much of the Four Corners region and not much associated with the cold front.  The cold front is moving southeast through northern Utah and will move through our area tonight.
Water vapor shows lots of dry air across much of the Four Corners region and not much associated with the cold front.  The cold front is moving southeast through northern Utah and will move through our area tonight.

My forecast…

Tonight and tomorrow… Skies will be partly cloudy.  Winds will decrease overnight and then will peak 25-30mph in the valley and 40-45mph in the mountains tomorrow afternoon.  Isolated snowshowers are possible in the mountains.  The lucky spots could get an inch of new snow.

Tonight lows will be upper teens to low 20s. Tomorrow will be 5-10 degrees cooler with highs in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows 10-20.

Wednesday through Sunday… Expect glorious spring weather with mostly clear skies and a warming trend.

High temps Wednesday will be low to mid-50s and lows will be mid-teens to low 20s.  Thursday will be a little warmer and then Friday through Sunday we’ll have highs in the 60s and lows in the 20s.

The NBM liquid precip through next Sunday at midnight shows the precip to our north and east.  Nearly all of this precip will fall this late this evening through tomorrow evening.
The NBM liquid precip through next Sunday at midnight shows the precip to our north and east.  Nearly all of this precip will fall this late this evening through tomorrow evening.
The NBM snowfall through next Sunday at midnight shows up to inch in our mountains but most of the snowfall will stay to our north and east.  Nearly all of this snow will fall late this evening through tomorrow evening.  Keep this in mind if you’re traveling.
The NBM snowfall through next Sunday at midnight shows up to inch in our mountains but most of the snowfall will stay to our north and east.  Nearly all of this snow will fall late this evening through tomorrow evening.  Keep this in mind if you’re traveling.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
5072 / 198619-5 / 1975

My next post will be tomorrow afternoon.

– Shawn

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I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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4 Responses

  1. Love your forecasts, comments and site. Wish I had discovered you sooner. Thanks so much!
    Do you know of any long term weather averages ie. ppt. Etc. For Pagosa and or nearby locales?

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