Friday – 5 Mar 2021 – 5:15pm
Pagosa Springs climatology…
The average high for this date is 43 and the record high of 62 occurred in 1972. The average low is 13 and the record is -21 which occurred in 1966.
Upper level ridging will build over the region and give us more fantastic spring weather. The ridge will move through tomorrow morning which will allow a few more clouds to move through during the weekend, but we’ll stay dry.
The forecast models continue to fluctuate considerably next week. We’ll be between a ridge to the east and a trough to the west with limited moisture and limited storm energy. This will result in a “messy” pattern with periods of cloudiness and a chance for periods of light precip. I don’t see decent storm energy and moisture until the main system tries to move through sometime between Friday and Sunday. Check out the graphics below for a better explanation.
Tonight through Monday… Expect mostly sunny skies with occasional patches of high clouds and pleasant spring temps with highs in the upper 40s to mid-50s and lows 5-20.
Tuesday through Friday… We’ll see variable clouds and a chance for periods of light precip. Highs will be upper 30s to mid-40s and lows will be 10-20.
Friday night through Sunday… We might have a decent system, but it’s too early to trust the forecast models.
Unless something pops up, Mark will do the next post on Sunday.