Weak chance for precip Friday and next Tuesday…

It was a nice day for a pup walk! – Pic taken 3/3/2026

It was a nice day for a pup walk! – Pic taken 3/3/2026

Tuesday – 3 Mar 2026 – 6:15pm

The past…

Stevens Field Observations

Sunday: High: 63*, Low: 26, Peak wind: 20mph

Monday: High: 56, Low: 27, Peak wind: 22mph

* Tied the record high of 63 set in 1943. *

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4462 / 198613-18 / 1916

Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.

Current satellite and radar…

Water satellite late Tuesday afternoon – Purple arrows indicate upper-level flow. A compact low is moving through northern Colorado. The ridge, jagged blue line, will slowly weaken and move east.
Water vapor satellite late Tuesday afternoon – Purple arrows indicate upper-level flow. A compact low is moving through northern Colorado. The ridge, jagged blue line, will slowly weaken and move east.

There is nothing on radar in our area late Tuesday afternoon. There are scattered rain showers along parts of I-25 through Colorado.

Forecast highlights…

*** Weak storms Friday and next Tuesday with low precip amounts. ***

Forecast details…

Wednesday through Thursday evening… A transient ridge will move through. We’ll have scattered clouds and remain dry.

Thursday night through Friday evening… A trough and a cold front will move through from the west with limited moisture. We’ll see more clouds and a few spotty showers, but precip amounts will be low. It will be windy Thursday and 10-15 degrees colder Friday.

The snow level could drop below 7,000ft but just a dusting of snow is possible in the Pagosa area. Wolf Creek could get 1-3” of snow.

Friday night through Monday… A ridge will build over our area while a cut-off low spins over the Baja Peninsula. We’ll have partly cloudy skies and will be dry.

Next Tuesday… We might catch the northern edge of a cut-off low that will be well to our south.  We’ll see a few more clouds and scattered showers. Precip amounts will be low. If the system moves any further south, we won’t get anything.

Temps…

Tuesday night lows will be near 20 to the high 20s.

Wednesday and Thursday highs will be near 50 to the high 50s and lows will be in the high teens to the high 20s.

Friday highs will be in the high 30s to the mid 40s and lows will be near 10 to the high teens.

Saturday highs will be in the mid 40s to the low 50s and lows will be in the high teens to the mid 20s.

Sunday, Monday, and next Tuesday highs will be in the mid 50s to the low 60s and lows will be in the low to high 20s.

Winds…

Wednesday afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph near Pagosa and 30-35mph in the high country.

Thursday afternoon gusts will be 25-30mph near Pagosa and 40-45mph in the high country.

Friday through Monday, each afternoon gusts will be around 15mph near Pagosa and 30-35mph in the high country.

Next Tuesday afternoon gusts will be around 25mph near Pagosa and 35-40mph in the high country.

NBM snow to 11pm next Tuesday shows 0.4” Pagosa area and 3-5” near Wolf Creek.  The northern Colorado mountains will be favored.
NBM snow to 11pm next Tuesday shows 0.4” Pagosa area and 3-5” near Wolf Creek.  The northern Colorado mountains will be favored.

10 Mar to 18 Mar… The ridge off the west coast will flatten some and allow a more west to east flow across the northern half of the country. The storm track will be too far north to have much impact on us. We might see a few periods of scattered showers, but I don’t see any big storms on the horizon.

These are total precip amounts to 6am on 18 Mar for the primary ensemble forecast models. Upper left, Euro ensemble shows 0.29”, upper right Euro AI ensemble shows 0.37”, bottom left GFS ensemble shows 0.59”, bottom right GFS AI ensemble shows 0.53”. Euro precip amounts are trending down for us while the GFS has been steady.
These are total precip amounts to 6am on 18 Mar for the primary ensemble forecast models. Upper left, Euro ensemble shows 0.29”, upper right Euro AI ensemble shows 0.37”, bottom left GFS ensemble shows 0.59”, bottom right GFS AI ensemble shows 0.53”.
Euro precip amounts are trending down for us while the GFS has been steady.

The next post will be on Thursday.

– Shawn

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Picture of Shawn Pro

Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

© 2026 Pagosa Weather 

Website Design by : Brandon