Prairie Smoke and other spring flowers are peaking in some places – pic taken 5/15/2025 by Arleen
Friday – 16 May 2025 – 8:15am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature on Wednesday was 52, and on Thursday it was 57. The low this morning was 27. The cold spots dipped to near 20.
The peak wind at Stevens Field on Wednesday was 39mph and on Thursday it was 41mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 68 | 80 / 1984 | 30 | 14 / 1913 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.
Forecast discussion…
There is nothing on radar in our area Friday morning.
Forecast highlights…
*** Gusty winds each afternoon. ***
*** A little rain is possible Sunday and Monday afternoons. ***
*** Fantastic weather most of next week! ***
Rest of Friday through Saturday… Dry, stable upper-level west and southwest flow will give us nice weather.
Temps… Friday and Saturday highs will be in the mid-60s to low 70s and lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be 25-30mph.
Sunday and Monday… A low-pressure system will move through. Storm energy, instability, and moisture will increase leading to hit and miss showers and thunderstorms, mostly in the afternoons.
I think most of the Pagosa area will get around 0.10” of rain and the lucky spots could get up to 0.25”. The mountains above 9,500ft will get 2-4” of snow.
Temps… Sunday highs will be in the mid-50s to low 60s and lows will be in mid-20s to mid-30s. Monday highs will be in the low to high 50s and lows will be in the low 20s to low 30s.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will mostly be 25-30mph, but stronger gusts are possible near showers and thunderstorms.
Tuesday through Thursday… High pressure will build over the region. Dry, stable air will move in and temps will warm.
Temps… Tuesday highs will be in the low to high 60s and lows will be in the mid-20s to mid-30s. Wednesday highs will be in the high 60s to mid-70s and lows will be in the high 20s to mid-30s. Thursday highs will be in the low to high 70s and lows will be in the low to high 30s.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph.
The 8-14 day period… … I expect dry, warm weather through the 25th and then the weather pattern will get a little more active with just a slight chance for spotty afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
The next post will be on Sunday.
– Shawn
