Scattered showers through Monday afternoon – great weather the rest of next week…

We saw a few slushy snowflakes in the Pagosa area! – pic taken 5/18/2025

Sunday – 18 May 2025 – 5:10pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature on Friday was 66, and on Saturday it was 68. The low this morning was 27. The temp was 43 around sunrise Sunday, rose to 50 by 8am, and then dropped to 37 around 10:30am when the first shower moved through.

The peak wind at Stevens Field on Friday was 31mph and on Saturday it was 32mph.

Average High	Record High / Year	Average Low	Record Low / Year
69	84 / 1986	30	18 / 1931

Precipitation summary… Scattered rain showers with a few slushy snowflakes moved through Sunday. We got 0.18” by 3pm. We’ll wait to see 24-hour precip totals in tomorrow’s CoCoRaHS reports.

Forecast discussion…

*Satellite loop from 3:51pm to 4:46pm Sunday afternoon – The trough over UT will move through late Sunday evening. A secondary, weaker trough will move through Monday.*

*Radar at 4:54pm Sunday – Spotty showers are moving towards the northeast.*

Forecast highlights…

*** There is a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for the eastern San Juan Mountains above 10,000ft – this includes Wolf Creek and Cumbres Passes. Up to 6” of snow is possible by 6am Monday. ***

*** Hit and miss showers and an isolated thunderstorm or two through Monday afternoon. ***

*** Fantastic weather most of next week! ***

Rest of Sunday and Monday… A low-pressure system will move through. Storm energy, instability, and moisture have increased leading to hit and miss showers and thunderstorms. There will be less shower activity on Monday.

For the Pagosa area another 0.10” of rain is possible – it will be spotty. The mountains above 9,500ft will get another 2-3” of snow.

Temps… Sunday night lows will be in the high 20s to mid-30s. Monday highs will be in the low to high 50s and lows will be in the low 20s to low 30s.

Winds… Afternoon gusts will mostly be 20-25mph, but stronger gusts are possible near showers and thunderstorms.

*NBM precip to Monday evening shows 0.07” near Pagosa and up to 0.50” for the higher peaks of the south San Juans.*

*NWS NDFD model shows 4” of snow near Wolf Creek Pass.*

Tuesday through Saturday… High pressure will build over the region. Dry, stable air will move in and temps will warm.

Temps… Tuesday highs will be in the low to high 60s and lows will be in the mid-20s to mid-30s. Wednesday highs will be in the high 60s to mid-70s and lows will be in the high 20s to mid-30s. Thursday, Friday, and Saturday highs will be in the low to high 70s and lows will be in the low to high 30s.

Winds… Afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph.

The 8-14 day period… I expect dry, warm weather through the 25^th and then the weather pattern will get a little more active with just a slight chance for spotty afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

*The Euro ensemble precip to 2 Jun at 6am on the top shows 0.71” for Pagosa and the GFS ensemble on the bottom shows 0.67”.*

The next post will be on Tuesday.

– Shawn

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Snowman Level Sponsors

Pagosa Weather Snowball Level Sponsors

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Support Pagosa Weather

Contact Us

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use Privacy Policy

Website Design by : Brandon