Tommy is loving the fall colors! – pic taken 10/12/2024
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Sunday – 13 Oct 2024 – 6:30pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature Friday was 75 and on Saturday it was 75. The low this morning was 38. The cold spots dipped into the high 20s this morning.
The peak wind at Stevens Field on Friday was 22mph and on Saturday it was 28mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 66 | 79 / 1950 | 27 | 12 / 1997 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.
Forecast discussion…
There is nothing significant on radar in our area late Sunday afternoon.
Forecast highlights…
*** Cold spots will drop below freezing each night. ***
*** A spotty rainshower is possible Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday afternoons. ***
*** A winter-ish storm will move through Thursday into Sunday. ***
Late Sunday evening through Wednesday… A weakening low-pressure will spin over eastern NV and northern AZ. There won’t be much moisture or storm energy and we’ll be on the eastern edge.
We’ll see a few more clouds, a few spotty showers, and a thunderstorm or two, mostly over the mountains. The best chance for precip is late Sunday evening, and then each afternoon. The mountains above 11,000ft could get a dusting of snow.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be 15-25mph.
Temps… Sunday night lows will be in the low to high 30s. Monday and Tuesday highs will be in the mid-60s to low 70s and lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s. Wednesday highs will be in the low to high 60s and lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s.
Thursday through Sunday… A trough will move through Thursday and then a low-pressure system is expected to spin over the Four Corners region Friday through Sunday. Waves of storm energy and moisture will move through our area and kick up showers and an occasional thunderstorm.
Timing…
Scattered showers will develop over the mountains early Thursday morning and then over the valley after sunrise and persist into Thursday evening. An isolated thunderstorm or two is possible in the afternoon.
There will be a lull Thursday night with just a few scattered showers over the mountains.
Friday morning into Sunday evening the low will spin over AZ and send waves of showers and an occasional thunderstorm our way.
Snow levels…
Thursday during the day: around 10,500ft
Thursday night: around 10,500ft
Friday during the day: around 10,000ft
Friday night: 8,000-8,500ft
Saturday during the day: around 10,000ft
Saturday night: 8,000-8,500ft
Sunday during the day: around 9,500ft
Sunday night: 7,500-8000ft
Forecast snow amounts:
Mountains above 10,000ft: 8-12”
Valley above 8,000ft: up to 2”
Valley below 8,000ft: up to a half inch
Winds… Thursday and Friday gusts will be 20-30mph. Saturday and Sunday gusts will be 15-20mph.
Temps… Thursday highs will be in the mid-50s to mid-60s and lows will be in the low 30s to low 40s. Friday through Sunday highs will be in the high 40s to high 50s. Friday lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s. Saturday and Sunday lows will be in the mid-20s to low 30s.
The next forecast post will be on Tuesday.
– Shawn
