The Northern Lights put on a great show last night! This fantastic photo was taken by Kris May at Williams Creek Reservoir on 10/10/2024.
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Friday – 11 Oct 2024 – 5:30pm
Thanks for coming to our presentation yesterday!
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature Wednesday was 73 and on Thursday it was 75. The low this morning was 38. The cold spots dipped into the high 20s this morning.
The peak wind at Stevens Field on Wednesday was 22mph and on Thursday it was 17mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 68 | 80 / 1950 | 28 | 15 / 1913 |
Precipitation summary… A few lucky folks got some raindrops Wednesday afternoon.
Forecast discussion…
There is nothing significant on radar in our area Friday afternoon.
Forecast highlights…
*** Cold spots will drop below freezing each night. ***
*** A spotty rainshower is possible Sunday evening, and then Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday afternoons. ***
*** A winter-ish storm is possible Thursday into Saturday next week. ***
Friday afternoon through most of Sunday… A blocking high pressure across the southwest US will give us lots of sun and temps 5-10 degrees above average.
Winds… Afternoon peaks will be around 15mph.
Temps… Friday and Saturday highs will be in the low to high 70s and lows will be in the low 30s to low 40s. Sunday highs will be in the high 60s to mid-70s and lows will be in the low to high 30s.
Late Sunday evening through Wednesday… A weakening low-pressure will spin over eastern NV and northern AZ. There won’t be much moisture or storm energy and we’ll be on the eastern edge.
We’ll see a few more clouds, a few spotty showers, and a thunderstorm or two, mostly over the mountains. The best chance for precip is late Sunday evening, and then each afternoon. The mountains above 11,000ft could get a dusting of snow.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph.
Temps… Sunday night lows will be in the low to high 30s. Monday and Tuesday highs will be in the mid-60s to low 70s and lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s. Wednesday highs will be in the low to high 60s and lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s.
Thursday through Saturday… A low-pressure system will move through. The system is still 7-8 days out, so the forecast models are inconsistent on timing, storm energy, and precip amounts.
Here’s my rough first guess…
The first few scattered showers will start over the mountains Thursday evening. Precip will ramp up Friday and Friday night and then taper off Saturday morning.
Snow levels will start around 10,500ft Thursday evening, hang out around 10,000ft during the day Friday, and then drop to 8,000ft late Friday night.
First guess snow amounts:
Mountains above 10,000ft: 2-4”
Valley above 8,000ft: up to 1”
Valley below 8,000ft: “rainflakes” – no snow accumulation
Winds… Thursday and Friday gusts will be 20-30mph. Saturday gusts will be 15-20mph.
Temps… Thursday highs will be in the high 50s to mid-60s and lows will be in the low 30s to low 40s. Friday highs will be in the mid-50s to low 60s and lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s. Saturday highs will be in the high 40s to mid-50s and lows will be in the mid-20s to low 30s.
*** This storm is still 7-8 days out so forecast confidence is low. I’ll dial in the details better as the storm nears. ***
The next forecast post will be on Sunday.
– Shawn
