It sure is green around here! – pic taken 7/6/2024
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Sunday – 7 July 2024 – 4:10pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature Saturday afternoon was 82 and the high so far on Sunday is 82. The low this morning was 42.
*** Todd O., in downtown Pagosa, reported a temp of 32 and some frost on his car this morning! It’s a great reminder that this can happen any month of the year. ***
The minimum relative humidity yesterday was 12% with a dew point of 23. Today it was 12% with a dew point of 25 – quite dry.
The peak wind at Stevens Field yesterday afternoon was 25mph. Today’s peak wind so far is 26mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 83 | 99 / 1989 | 43 | 27 / 1941 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.
Forecast discussion…
There is nothing on radar in our area this afternoon.
Forecast highlights…
*** The chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms will slowly ramp up through the week. ***
Monday through Sunday… The high will gradually shift east and weaken. By Wednesday afternoon it is expected to be over eastern NV/western UT. By Saturday afternoon it is expected to be to our north along the UT/CO border.
This is not ideal for us but will allow a little more moisture and instability to creep into our area. The chance for a spotty afternoon shower or thunderstorm will slowly increase through the week.
Each morning we’ll wake up to bright blue skies. Then scattered cumulus clouds will build over the mountains during the late morning. By mid-afternoon, a couple of those cumulus clouds will grow into showers and a thunderstorm or two. Clouds will decrease each evening and we could be treated to pretty sunsets and a rainbow.
Winds… Afternoon peaks will be around 15mph, but isolated higher gusts are possible near a shower or thunderstorm.
Temps… Highs will be in low to high 80s and lows will be in the mid-40s to low 50s.
8-14 day precip… The high will wobble around the region. For us it’s a weak monsoon pattern with marginal moisture and instability. There will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms each afternoon, but they’ll be hit and miss.
Overall, I expect most of us to end up in the lower range. For more precip, we need the high to wobble to our east to push stronger monsoon moisture into our area.
My next forecast post will be Tuesday afternoon.
– Shawn
