Slight chance for a little precip Friday and Monday afternoons…

April snowshowers bring Pagosa flowers! – pic taken 4/14/2026

April snowshowers bring Pagosa flowers! – pic taken 4/14/2026

Wednesday – 15 Apr 2026 – 5:15pm

The past…

Stevens Field Observations

Monday: High: 55, Low: 29, Peak wind: 30mph

Tuesday: High: 43, Low: 30, Peak wind: 22mph

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
5975 / 19402410 / 1951

Precipitation summary… Much of Archuleta County got a decent soaking. I estimate that the Wolf Creek area got 10-14” of snow.

CoCoRaHS 2-day rain totals in ranged from 0.32” to 0.63”.
CoCoRaHS 2-day rain totals in ranged from 0.32” to 0.63”.

Current satellite and radar…

Water vapor satellite Wednesday afternoon – Purple arrows indicate upper-level flow. Yesterday’s storm has moved into the central plains. The ridge, jagged blue line, is drying us out. The storm over the Pacific NW will move through northern Colorado on Friday. The main impact to us will be gusty winds,
Water vapor satellite Wednesday afternoon – Purple arrows indicate upper-level flow. Yesterday’s storm has moved into the central plains. The ridge, jagged blue line, is drying us out. The storm over the Pacific NW will move through northern Colorado on Friday. The main impact to us will be gusty winds,

There is nothing on radar in our area Wednesday afternoon.

Forecast highlights…

*** Hard freeze likely Wednesday, Friday, and Saturday nights. Hard freeze is possible Thursday and Sunday nights. ***

*** Slight chance for an isolated shower Friday and Monday afternoons, otherwise it will dry for the next week. ***

Forecast details…

Wednesday night into Friday morning… A transient ridge with drier air will give us mostly sunny skies and temps slightly above average.

Late Friday morning into Friday afternoon… A fast moving low pressure system will skirt through northern CO. There is enough moisture and instability to kick up a few isolated showers and thunderstorms in the middle of the day. Most of the storms will be along The Divide.

Friday evening through Sunday… A transient ridge will bring us partly cloudy skies and dry weather.

Monday… There will be an increase of moisture and instability leading to a few scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Precip amounts will be light.

Tuesday and next Wednesday… A ridge will move over our heads on Tuesday. We’ll have lots of sun and stay dry. Clouds will increase Wednesday but we’ll stay dry.

Temps…

Wednesday night lows will be near 20 to the high 20s.

Thursday highs will be in the mid 50s to the low 60s and lows will be in the mid 20s to the mid 30s.

Friday highs will be in the mid 40s to the low 50s and lows will be in the low teens to the low 20s.

Saturday highs will be in the low to high 50s and lows will be in the high teens to the mid 20s.

Sunday through next Wednesday highs will be near 60 to the high 60s and lows will be in the mid 20s to the low 30s.

Winds…

Thursday afternoon gusts will be around 30mph in the Pagosa Springs area and 35-45mph in the high country.

Friday afternoon gusts will be 30-40mph in the Pagosa Springs area and 45-55mph in the high country.

Saturday, Sunday, and Monday, each afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph in the Pagosa Springs area and 30-35mph in the high country.

Tuesday afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph in the Pagosa area and 35-40mph in the high country.

Next Wednesday afternoon gusts will be 25-30mph in the Pagosa area and 35-45mph in the high country.

NBM precip to next Wednesday evening shows less than 0.10” in our mountains. The next storm will favor northern Colorado.
NBM precip to next Wednesday evening shows less than 0.10” in our mountains. The next storm will favor northern Colorado.

22 Apr to 30 Apr… Much of this period looks active but precip amounts are light.

Euro ensemble precip to 30 Apr shows 0.92” in the Pagosa area. Precip amounts have trended down.
Euro ensemble precip to 30 Apr shows 0.92” in the Pagosa area. Precip amounts have trended down.
This is Euro ensemble 24-hour precip amounts for the Pagosa Springs area through 30 Apr. It’s read left to right, and times are in Zulu. The top chart shows 24-hour precip amounts for 50 versions of the Euro forecast model. The bottom chart graphs the control and mean of the 50 versions. There’s a chance for a few showers Friday and Monday afternoons, otherwise it’s dry for the first week. Then it’s active the second week but precip amounts are light.
This is Euro ensemble 24-hour precip amounts for the Pagosa Springs area through 30 Apr. It’s read left to right, and times are in Zulu. The top chart shows 24-hour precip amounts for 50 versions of the Euro forecast model. The bottom chart graphs the control and mean of the 50 versions.
There’s a chance for a few showers Friday and Monday afternoons, otherwise it’s dry for the first week. The second week is more active but precip amounts are light.

The next post will be on Friday afternoon.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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