We love hearing meadowlarks every spring! – pic taken 4/4/2026
Sunday – 5 Apr 2026 – 4:00pm
The past…
Stevens Field Observations
Friday: High: 49, Low: 27, Peak wind: 25mph
Saturday: High: 58, Low: 21, Peak wind: 10mph
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 55 | 73 / 1959 | 22 | 6 / 1955 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.
Current satellite and radar…
There is nothing on radar in our area Sunday afternoon.
Forecast highlights…
*** More clouds and a few scattered showers Monday and Tuesday afternoons. ***
*** Active weather pattern late Friday into next Tuesday. ***
Forecast details…
Monday and Tuesday… A little surge of moisture and instability will kick up scattered showers and a thunderstorm or two each afternoon.
Monday afternoon most of the showers will be over the mountains. Tuesday afternoon there is a better chance for showers and thunderstorms in the Pagosa area. Precip amounts will be light and spotty.
Snow levels will be 9,500-10,000ft. Wolf Creek will get 1-2” of snow.
Up to 0.10” of rain is possible in the Pagosa Springs area.
Wednesday through Friday morning… A transient ridge will move through and temporarily dry us out.
Friday afternoon into next Tuesday (14 Apr)… A cut-off low will slowly move west to east through southern AZ and southern NM. Timing and precip amounts are uncertain. I’m concerned that this low will track too far south for us.
Snow levels will bounce around between 9,000ft and 10,000ft.
Precip forecast…
Wolf Creek: 4-8” of snow
Pagosa Springs area: 0.20” to 0.40” of rain
*** Timing and precip amounts are still uncertain. I’ll adjust the details as the data gets better. ***
Temps…
Sunday night lows will be in the mid 20s to the low 30s.
Monday and Tuesday highs will be in the mid 50s to the low 60s and lows will be in the mid 20s to the mid 30s.
Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday highs will be near 60 to the high 60s and lows will be in the high 20s to the mid 30s.
Saturday, next Sunday, and next Monday highs will be in the mid 50s to the low 60s and lows will be in the low to high 30s.
Winds…
Monday and Tuesday, each afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph in the Pagosa Springs area and 25-30mph in the high country.
Wednesday through next weekend, each afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph in the Pagosa Springs area and 35-40mph in the high country.
*** Most of this will fall Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening. ***
Near Wolf Creek 1” of liquid equivalent would be 6-10” of snow.
12 Apr to 20 Apr… The first part of this period looks active with a chance for precip. The second part is less active with no organized storms.
There are scattered showers with low precip amounts late Monday afternoon into Tuesday night. Wednesday through most of Friday should be mostly dry. Friday evening to the middle of next week looks active. It’s less active with lots of uncertainty for the last 3 or 4 days.
The next post will be on Tuesday afternoon.
– Shawn
