I had a fantastic flight with Rocky Mountain Balloon Adventures! (LINK to Facebook page and LINK to web page) – pic was taken 3/28/2026
Sunday – 29 Mar 2026 – 3:45pm
The past…
Stevens Field Observations
Friday: High: 69*, Low: 34, Peak wind: 28mph
Saturday: High: 65, Low: 28, Peak wind: 22mph
* Tied the record high. *
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 51 | 72 / 1986 | 19 | -5 / 1975 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.
Current satellite and radar…
The high has shifted east over the Gulf but the ridge is still in control over our region. There are a lot of clouds moving south to north over AZ but there is no precip with them. The low well off the coast will be our Wednesday storm.
There is nothing on radar in our area Sunday afternoon.
Forecast highlights…
*** Slight chance for a spotty shower Monday afternoon and Tuesday afternoon. ***
*** Valley rain and mountain snow Tuesday night into Wednesday evening. Expect winter driving conditions in the mountains. ***
*** Dry through next weekend. ***
Forecast details…
Monday into Tuesday afternoon… Marginal instability could kick up a spotty shower or two each afternoon. Precip amounts will be light.
Tuesday evening into Wednesday evening… A cold front will move through with a decent batch of moisture. Our best chance for valley rain and mountain snow is Tuesday night into early Wednesday evening.
Snow levels…
Monday afternoon around 10,800ft
Tuesday morning around 10,000ft
Wednesday morning around 9,000ft
Wednesday evening around 8,600ft
Precip amounts…
Mountains above 9,500ft: 8-12” of snow
Pagosa Springs area: 0.50” to 0.70” of rain
Thursday through next weekend… Thursday there could be a few residual spotty showers over the mountains as the system clears out. Precip amounts will be low.
Friday a trough will move through northern Colorado and kick up our winds, but the moisture will stay to our north.
A weak ridge will build over the region next weekend and keep us dry.
Temps…
Sunday night lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s.
Monday highs will be in the low to high 60s and lows will be near 30 to the high 30s.
Tuesday highs will be in the high 50s to the mid 60s and lows will be near 30 to the high 30s.
Wednesday highs will be in the mid 40s to the low 50s and lows will be in the mid 20s to the low 30s.
Thursday, Friday, and Saturday highs will be in the mid 50s to the low 60s. Thursday night lows will be in the mid 20s to the low 30s. Friday and Saturday night lows will be near 20 to the high 20s.
Next Sunday highs will be in the high 50s to the high 60s and lows will be in the mid 20s to the low 30s.
Winds…
Monday and Tuesday, each afternoon gusts will be around 30mph in the Pagosa Springs area and 40-45mph in the high country.
Wednesday afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph in the Pagosa Springs area and 35-40mph in the high country.
Thursday and Friday, each afternoon gusts will be around 30mph in the Pagosa Springs area and 40-45mph in the high country.
Saturday and next Sunday, each afternoon gusts will be around 20mph in the Pagosa Springs area and 30-35mph in the high country.
5 Apr to 13 Apr… The forecast models are all over the place. I don’t see anything to get excited about.
This model shows an increasing trend while other models aren’t as optimistic.
This model expects it to stay dry through Monday morning. There’s a chance for light precip Monday afternoon through Tuesday evening and then our best chance for precip is Tuesday night into Wednesday evening. There’s another dry period through next weekend. Then the weather pattern is disorganized through the rest of the period.
Unless there’s a significant change to the forecast, the next post will be on Tuesday.
– Shawn
