Near record high temps through Friday …

Fantastic weather for a bike ride!  – pic taken by Arleen on 3/20/2026

Fantastic weather for a bike ride!  – pic taken by Arleen on 3/20/2026

Saturday – 21 Mar 2026 – 2:15pm

The past…

Stevens Field Observations

Thursday: High: 76*, Low: 28, Peak wind: 21mph

Friday: High: 79**, Low: 32, Peak wind: 17mph

* Beat the previous record high of 73 set in 1907.

** Beat the previous record high of 68 set in 1997.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
5168 / 1997173 / 1935

Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.

Current satellite and radar…

Water vapor satellite around noon on Saturday – Purple arrows indicate upper-level flow. The “hell high” is over southeast AZ and continues to cause record high temps across the region.
Water vapor satellite around noon on Saturday – Purple arrows indicate upper-level flow. The “hell high” is over southeast AZ and continues to cause record high temps across the region.

There is nothing on radar in our area Saturday afternoon.

Forecast highlights…

*** Near record high temps through Friday **

*** More active weather pattern starting next Sunday or Monday. ***

Forecast details…

Sunday through next Saturday (28 Mar)… The “hell high” will get knocked down a little on Sunday and then rebound on Monday. The impact to us will be minimal. Warm, dry air will remain over the region.

Temps will remain 20-25 degrees above average through next Friday. Saturday a few more clouds will move through, and high temps will be 5 degrees cooler.

Temps…

Saturday night lows will be in the low 30s to low 40s.

Sunday and Monday highs will be in the high 60s to mid 70s and lows will be in the high 20s to the high 30s.

Tuesday highs will be in the low 70s to low 80s and lows will be in near 30 to near 40.

Wednesday and Thursday highs will be in the mid 70s to mid 80s and lows will be in the low 30s to low 40s.

Friday highs will be in the low 70s to low 80s and lows will be in near 30 to near 40.

Next Saturday highs will be in the mid 60s to low 70s and lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s.

Winds…

Sunday afternoon gusts will be around 15mph in the Pagosa Springs area and 25-30mph in the high country.

Monday afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph in the Pagosa Springs area and 35-40mph in the high country.

Tuesday and Wednesday, each afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph in the Pagosa Springs area and around 30-35mph in the high country.

Thursday, Friday, and next Saturday, each afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph in the Pagosa Springs area and 35-40mph in the high country.

This is one of my favorite products for high and low temps in our area through 4 Apr. It’s read left to right. It shows a slight dip in high temps Sunday and Monday, but those are still near record highs for those days. Record highs are possible through Friday and then temps are expected to lower to near normal with a more active weather pattern.
This is one of my favorite products for high and low temps in our area through 4 Apr. It’s read left to right.
It shows a slight dip in high temps Sunday and Monday, but those are still near record highs for those days. Record highs are possible through Friday and then temps are expected to lower to near normal with a more active weather pattern.

29 Mar to 5 Apr… The ridge will weaken and move to our east and a trough will set up near the west coast. The storm track will be closer to our area and we’ll see a more active weather pattern.

Euro ensemble precip to 5 Apr shows 1.22” in the Pagosa area. Precip amounts are trending up. That’s encouraging!
Euro ensemble precip to 5 Apr shows 1.22” in the Pagosa area.
Precip amounts are trending up. That’s encouraging!
This is Euro ensemble 24-hour precip amounts for the Pagosa Springs area through 5 Apr. It’s read left to right, and times are in Zulu. The top chart shows 24-hour precip amounts for 50 versions of the Euro forecast model. The bottom chart graphs the control and mean of the 50 versions. This model expects it to stay dry through next Saturday and then a more active and wet pattern for the rest of the period. Other forecast models differ in the details but show a similar trend.
This is Euro ensemble 24-hour precip amounts for the Pagosa Springs area through 5 Apr. It’s read left to right, and times are in Zulu. The top chart shows 24-hour precip amounts for 50 versions of the Euro forecast model. The bottom chart graphs the control and mean of the 50 versions.
This model expects it to stay dry through next Saturday and then a more active and wet pattern for the rest of the period. Other forecast models differ in the details but show a similar trend.
Euro ensemble total snow for Wolf Creek to 5 Apr shows 11”. It’s dry through Saturday, and then the weather pattern will get more active.
Euro ensemble total snow for Wolf Creek to 5 Apr shows 11”. It’s dry through Saturday, and then the weather pattern will get more active.

The next post will be on Monday.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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